Prediction for match Neom — Al Riyadh, 06.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on February 6, Neom will face Al Riyadh. The odds for a Neom victory are 1.61, a draw stands at 4.05, and an Al Riyadh win is at 4.35. In terms of probability, Neom has a 56.57% chance, a draw is at 22.49%, and Al Riyadh has a 20.94% chance. Based on these numbers, Neom is considered the favorite, although the gap isn't insurmountable for the opponent. The odds for the total goals over 2.5 are 1.81, while under is 1.89, indicating moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Neom maintains an average possession of 51.8%, commits 13 fouls, receives 1.4 yellow cards, and records 2 offsides per game. Al Riyadh, over the same period, shows 42.2% possession, 12.4 fouls, 2.4 yellow cards, and also averages 2 offsides. Looking at Neom's last three games: February 2 - Al Akhdoud 1-1 Neom, January 30 - Neom 3-0 Damac, January 24 - Neom 0-3 Al Ahli. Al Riyadh's last three results are: February 2 - Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Nassr, January 28 - Al Najma 1-1 Al Riyadh, January 25 - Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Hilal. Their last head-to-head was on September 27, 2025: Al Riyadh 2-3 Neom.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Neom has an average total goals of 2.2, while Al Riyadh's is 2.6. Both teams score 1 goal per game, with Neom conceding 1.2 and Al Riyadh 1.6. For games over 2.5 goals: Neom has 3 out of 5, Al Riyadh 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for each team, and in the second half, twice for both. The most frequent goal interval for Neom is the 31-45 minute mark (40%), for Al Riyadh it's the 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (each 40%). Neom most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%), Al Riyadh in the 16-30 minute range (33%). These stats suggest both teams can create chances, but a high-scoring game isn't expected. Betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems justified: both Neom and Al Riyadh support this total, and average goal figures are not low.

Corner Bets

Neom averages 5 corners per match, Al Riyadh 4.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Neom has 2 out of 5, Al Riyadh 3 out of 5. The line for corner totals offers: over 9.5 - 1.87, under 9.5 - 1.87. Based on average values and frequency, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially considering both teams can earn 5 or more corners per game. Neom is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.48. Overall, an active game on corners can be expected from both sides, supported by recent match statistics.