Prediction for match Al Taawon — Al-Najma, 29.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Saudi Arabian Pro League on December 29, 2025, Al Taawon will face Al-Najma. The odds for an Al Taawon victory are 1.45, reflecting a 62.70% probability according to bookmakers. A draw is offered at odds of 4.05 with a 22.45% probability, while an Al-Najma win is at 6.12 with a 14.85% chance. Al Taawon is the favorite, as indicated not only by the odds but also by the recent match statistics of both teams. This setup of odds and percentages sets the tone for the upcoming match and defines expectations for the encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Al Taawon has shown consistent ball control at 46.8%, averaging 2.4 warnings, 11 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Al-Najma, over the same period, maintains possession at 40%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Al Taawon played as follows: 26.12.2025 - Al Khaleej - Al Taawon 0-2, 23.11.2025 - Al Taawon - Al Suqoor 1-1, 07.11.2025 - Al Fateh - Al Taawon 2-5. Al-Najma's last three matches were: 25.12.2025 - Al Suqoor - Al-Najma 2-1, 22.11.2025 - Damac - Al-Najma 0-0, 07.11.2025 - Al-Najma - Al Hilal 2-4. These results allow us to assess not only the form but also the discipline of the teams in recent matches.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Al Taawon averages a total of 3.2 goals, scoring 2.4 per game and conceding 0.8. Al-Najma averages 2.6 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Al Taawon and 3 out of 5 for Al-Najma. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were seen twice for Al Taawon and once for Al-Najma. In the second half, both teams went over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. Al Taawon most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Al-Najma scores between the 46th to 60th and 76th to 90th minutes (33% each). Al Taawon most often concedes between the 31st to 45th and 61st to 75th minutes (30% each), while Al-Najma concedes most frequently in the 76th to 90th minutes (43%). Considering Al Taawon's high scoring rate and Al-Najma's defensive vulnerabilities, it makes sense to consider a bet on Al Taawon's individual total over 1.5 goals with odds of 1.58. This bet is based on Al Taawon's consistent attack, their average goals scored, and frequent goals in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Al Taawon earns 3.4 corners per game, while Al-Najma earns 3.6. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (7.0) is 8.5: odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.49, and for under 8.5 are 2.30. Al Taawon is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.38. Based on the average activity of both teams, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams are capable of creating chances and earning set-pieces, especially in the second half of the match.