Prediction for match Alanyaspor — Galatasaray

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Turkish Cup on March 3rd, Alanyaspor will face Galatasaray. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Galatasaray is at 1.75, Alanyaspor at 4.02, and a draw is priced at 4.05. The probability of Galatasaray winning is 53.55%, Alanyaspor 23.31%, and a draw 23.14%. Galatasaray stands out as the favorite based on both probability and odds, which is confirmed by the percentage distribution for a win and a draw. Bookmakers clearly favor Galatasaray's success in this match, while Alanyaspor and a draw have nearly equal chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Alanyaspor played as follows: 28.02.2026 - Galatasaray - Alanyaspor - 3-1, 21.02.2026 - Alanyaspor - Istanbul Basaksehir - 1-2, 14.02.2026 - Alanyaspor - Konyaspor - 2-1. Galatasaray's last three matches: 28.02.2026 - Galatasaray - Alanyaspor - 3-1, 25.02.2026 - Juventus - Galatasaray - 3-2, 21.02.2026 - Konyaspor - Galatasaray - 2-0. On average over the last five matches, Alanyaspor has 41.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Galatasaray shows 59.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per match. In their last head-to-head on 28.02.2026, Galatasaray defeated Alanyaspor 3-1. These stats reflect the difference in style and discipline between the teams and confirm Galatasaray's higher ball control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Alanyaspor averages 3.6 total goals per match, while Galatasaray averages 4.8. In terms of scoring: Alanyaspor - 1.4, Galatasaray - 3. Alanyaspor concedes an average of 2.2, Galatasaray - 1.8. Over 5 matches, Alanyaspor hit over 2.5 goals in all 5, Galatasaray in 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Alanyaspor - 3 out of 5, Galatasaray - 5 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals: Alanyaspor most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%), while Galatasaray scores most often in the 76-90 minute range (28%). Alanyaspor concedes most frequently towards the end (76-90, 33%), Galatasaray's distribution is 25% across four intervals. Overall, both teams show a strong over-profile: high scoring, frequent over 2.5 goal matches, especially for Galatasaray, and regular second-half goals. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical, with odds at 1.70.

Corner Bets

On average over the last 5 matches, Alanyaspor takes 3 corners, Galatasaray - 5.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners total: Alanyaspor 0 out of 5, Galatasaray 3 out of 5. Among the available total corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.8) is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.06, under 9.5 - 1.74. Galatasaray is the favorite for corners with odds at 1.67. Overall, Galatasaray delivers significantly more corners, and over 9.5 corners have been hit in 3 out of 5 matches, suggesting a possibility for an over bet on corners, especially if an active second half is expected.