Prediction for match Alaves — Girona

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Spanish La Liga on February 23, 2026, Alaves will face Girona. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Alaves win is priced at 2.43, a draw at 3.07, and Girona win at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Alaves - 40.54%, draw - 32.09%, Girona - 27.37%. These figures suggest Alaves is slightly favored, but the gap is not significant, and a draw is also seen as a possible outcome. For total goals, over 2.5 is offered at 2.54, under 2.5 at 1.61. Both teams to score: yes - 2.00, no - 1.74. On individual totals: Alaves over 1.5 goals - 2.55, Girona over 1.5 goals - 3.40. The double chance for Alaves or draw (1X) is at 1.34, and for Girona or draw (X2) at 1.63.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Alaves played as follows: February 14, 2026 - Sevilla vs Alaves - 1-1, February 8, 2026 - Alaves vs Getafe - 0-2, February 4, 2026 - Alaves vs Real Sociedad - 2-3. For the same period, Girona's results were: February 16, 2026 - Girona vs Barcelona - 2-1, February 8, 2026 - Sevilla vs Girona - 1-1, January 31, 2026 - Real Oviedo vs Girona - 1-0. On average over the last five matches, Alaves had 55.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Girona had 52.8% possession, 3 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 8, 2025, Girona defeated Alaves 1-0.

How Many Goals in Alaves vs Girona Match

In the last five matches, Alaves averaged 3 total goals per game, and Girona 2. In terms of scoring: Alaves scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 per game, while Girona scored 1.2 and conceded 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Alaves had 3 out of 5, Girona only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Alaves had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, Girona had none. In the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals. Goal intervals: Alaves often scores in the first 15 minutes (43%), while Girona scores late (76-90 minutes, 60%). For conceded goals: Alaves is most vulnerable late (76-90, 33%), Girona in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each). Overall, Alaves has an over-profile in goals, while Girona has an under-profile, but both teams tend to be active in the second half. A bet on total over 2.0 at 1.78 appears most logical: Alaves regularly hits over 2.5, and Girona's low scoring is offset by solid defense, though both teams can increase their tempo in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Average corners per game: Alaves 4, Girona 4.2. In the last five matches, total corners over 9.5 occurred only once for Alaves and twice for Girona. Among the corner total odds closest to the average sum (8.2) is the 8.5 line: total corners over 8.5 - 1.48, under 8.5 - 2.46. Alaves is favored in corners with odds of 1.60. Considering the average corner activity and infrequent over 9.5 occurrences, a bet on total corners over 8.5 seems justified, but there is not much margin for success. For fouls: Alaves 16.4, Girona 13.8 per game. For yellow cards: Alaves 1.4, Girona 3. For offsides: Alaves 2.2, Girona 2.4. Overall, the match may be moderately productive in set pieces.