Prediction for match Alaves — Osasuna

Match Analysis: Alaves vs Osasuna

In La Liga on April 5th, Alaves will face Osasuna. The odds are set with Alaves winning at 2.57, Osasuna at 3.15, and a draw at 3.23. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 38.29% for an Alaves win, 31.24% for Osasuna, and 30.47% for a draw. This suggests that Alaves has a slight edge, but Osasuna is not a clear underdog. The goal total odds also suggest potential for a high-scoring game, with over 2.0 goals at 1.67 and over 2.25 at 1.96. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.90, no at 1.82. Individual team totals are: Alaves over 1 goal at 1.71, Osasuna over 1 goal at 1.90. Overall, bookmakers expect at least two goals in this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Alaves played as follows: March 22, 2026 - Celta vs Alaves - 3-4, March 13, 2026 - Alaves vs Villarreal - 1-1, March 8, 2026 - Valencia vs Alaves - 3-2. Osasuna's recent matches were: March 21, 2026 - Osasuna vs Girona - 1-0, March 15, 2026 - Real Sociedad vs Osasuna - 3-1, March 7, 2026 - Osasuna vs Mallorca - 2-2. In their head-to-head on December 20, 2025, Osasuna defeated Alaves 3-0. Secondary statistics show that over five matches, Alaves averages: possession - 45.4%, yellow cards - 4, fouls - 17.2, offsides - 1. Osasuna averages: possession - 48.2%, yellow cards - 1.8, fouls - 14.4, offsides - 1.2. These figures indicate that Alaves plays more aggressively, while Osasuna opts for a more cautious approach. Over five matches, Alaves has more fouls and cards, which could influence the match's dynamics. Recent results show both teams are capable of scoring, especially Alaves, who netted four goals in a recent match.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over five matches, both teams had 3 games over 2.5 goals and 2 under. Alaves averages 4 goals per game, Osasuna 2.6. Scored: Alaves - 1.8, Osasuna - 1.2. Conceded: Alaves - 2.2, Osasuna - 1.4. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Alaves out of 5, once for Osasuna. In the second half, over 1.5 happened 4 times for Alaves, 3 times for Osasuna. This suggests more goals are scored in the second half. Goal intervals show Alaves most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (45%), Osasuna also in this interval (44%). Conceded: Alaves most often between 61-75 minutes (33%), Osasuna in the same interval (50%). The statistics on totals and goal distribution support betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.67. Both teams have a tendency for scoring in the final stages, with average goals above 2.5. In a five-match series, Alaves had three games over 2.5 goals, and Osasuna also had three. This confirms the selection of a bet on over 2.0 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

For corners, Alaves averages 4.2 over five matches, Osasuna 5.2. In total, that's 9.4 corners per game. In a five-match series, Alaves had three games over 9.5 corners, Osasuna had one. The closest line to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.78. For corners, Alaves is favored with odds of 1.74. Overall, both teams deliver a fair amount of corners, especially Osasuna, which could lead to the over 9.5 bet succeeding. It's also noteworthy that Alaves averages more yellow cards, which could lead to more set pieces and, consequently, corners. In this match, considering the average figures and the frequency of this line being met by Alaves, betting on over 9.5 corners makes sense.