Prediction for match Alaves — Real Madrid, 14.12.2025

Match Analysis: Alaves vs Real Madrid

In the Spanish La Liga on December 14, Alaves will face Real Madrid. According to the 1X2 odds, Real Madrid is favored: a win for the Madrid side is priced at 1.67, a draw at 4.16, and an Alaves victory at 5.69. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 59.00% for a Real Madrid win, 23.68% for a draw, and 17.32% for an Alaves win. Based on these figures, Real Madrid is considered the clear favorite, and bookmakers expect a high-scoring game with Madrid's advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Alaves has an average possession of 45.8%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 18.6 fouls, and 4 offsides per game. Real Madrid, on the other hand, shows better stats: 58.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Alaves' last three matches were: 06.12.2025 - Alaves vs Real Sociedad - 1-0, 02.12.2025 - Portugalete vs Alaves - 0-3, 29.11.2025 - Barcelona vs Alaves - 3-1. Real Madrid's last three games ended as follows: 10.12.2025 - Real Madrid vs Manchester City - 1-2, 07.12.2025 - Real Madrid vs Celta - 0-2, 03.12.2025 - Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid - 0-3. The last head-to-head match was on 13.04.2025 and ended with Alaves vs Real Madrid 0-1.

Goals Statistics

In the last five games, Alaves had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. Real Madrid had over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. On average, Alaves scores 1 goal and concedes 1, with a total match average of 2 goals. Real Madrid's averages are higher: they score 1.8, concede 1.6, with a total of 3.4 goals per game. By halves, Alaves saw over 1.5 goals in the first half once and the same in the second half. Real Madrid had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and twice in the second half. Alaves most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%) and concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (40%). Real Madrid has a more even goal distribution: 20% in each of the intervals 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes, and they concede most between the 16th and 60th minutes (25% each). Given Real Madrid's average scoring and frequent over 2.5 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.81 is logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for Alaves in the last five games is 3.4, and for Real Madrid, it's 5.6. In the last five matches, both teams only had over 9.5 corners once. Odds for corner totals are: over 9.5 at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.94. In the corner outcomes, Real Madrid has a clear advantage, with a win on corners priced at 1.44. Considering the average sum of corners for both teams (9), betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, although the frequency of this total is low - only 1 out of 5 for both teams. In this match, expect activity on the wings, especially from Real Madrid, which could lead to an increase in corners.