Prediction for match Alaves — Real Sociedad, 06.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the La Liga clash on December 6, Alaves will face off against Real Sociedad. The odds for a Real Sociedad win stand at 2.90, while Alaves is at 2.91, and a draw is priced at 3.06. The probability percentages are quite tight: 33.96% for a Real Sociedad win, 33.85% for Alaves, and 32.19% for a draw. This balance indicates that the bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, and the match is expected to be tense from both sides. Choosing the main prediction requires careful analysis of the statistics and current form of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Alaves secured a confident 3-0 victory over Portugalete, lost 1-3 to Barcelona, and were defeated 0-1 by Celta. Real Sociedad, in a similar stretch, lost 2-3 to Villarreal, defeated Osasuna 3-1, and drew 1-1 with Elche. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, on April 23, 2025, Alaves emerged stronger, winning 1-0 against Real Sociedad. Over a five-match period, Alaves' average possession is 49%, with 3 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 3.8 offsides per game. Real Sociedad's possession stands at 48.4%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. These figures confirm that both teams play with high intensity and do not shy away from challenges.

Goal Scoring Trends

Real Sociedad stands out in terms of scoring: they average 2.2 goals scored per game and 1.6 conceded, with a total match goal average of 3.8. Alaves has more modest figures - 1.2 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, and an average of 2.4 goals per match. Over a five-match series, Alaves had over 2.5 goals in 3 games, under in 2, while Real Sociedad saw over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5. By halves, Alaves had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and only once in the second, while Real Sociedad had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times, and twice in the first. In terms of goal intervals, Alaves scores more often in the first 30 minutes (0-15 and 16-30 - both 33%), while Real Sociedad scores between 31-45 and 46-60 (both 33%). For goals conceded, Alaves struggles in the first 15 minutes and the 46-60 period (both 33%), while Real Sociedad concedes more in the final minutes (76-90, 40%). The statistics suggest that Real Sociedad consistently plays for a total over 2.0, and Alaves is also not defensive-minded. Based on the frequency and average scoring, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.83 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, the average over 5 matches is: Alaves - 2.6, Real Sociedad - 4.2, totaling 6.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Alaves is 0 out of 5, and for Real Sociedad, it is 2 out of 5. The line closest to the average sum is total corners 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.25, under 7.5 at 3.28. You could also consider total corners 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.35. For the outcome on corners, Alaves is the favorite with odds of 1.83. The dynamics suggest that the match is unlikely to be corner-heavy, and under 8.5 corners looks more logical, considering the average figures of both teams.