Prediction for match Alaves — Real Sociedad, 04.02.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On February 4th, Alaves will face Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey. According to the 1X2 odds, Real Sociedad is the favorite with odds of 2.64 for their victory, while both Alaves winning and a draw are priced at 3.06. The probabilities are as follows: Alaves win - 31.65%, draw - 31.65%, Real Sociedad win - 36.69%. The total goals and both teams to score markets are also balanced: over 2.5 goals is at 2.44, both teams to score - yes at 1.96, no at 1.77. Over 1.5 goals is priced at 1.47, and under 2.5 goals at 1.61. For individual team totals: Alaves over 0.5 goals is at 1.47, Real Sociedad over 0.5 goals is at 1.40. A draw in the first half is at 1.91. Double chance options: 1X - 1.52, X2 - 1.41, 12 - 1.41.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three games, Alaves defeated Espanyol 2-1 (January 30), beat Real Betis 2-1 (January 25), and lost to Atletico Madrid 0-1 (January 18). Real Sociedad drew 1-1 with Athletic Bilbao (February 1), defeated Celta 3-1 (January 25), and Barcelona 2-1 (January 18). Alaves has an average possession of 49.6% over five matches, while Real Sociedad averages 46.8%. Both teams receive an average of 1.6 yellow cards per game. Fouls are recorded at 13.2 for Alaves and 12.8 for Real Sociedad, with offsides at 1.6 and 3 respectively. In their last head-to-head on December 6, 2025, Alaves beat Real Sociedad 1-0. In their last five encounters, Alaves won three times, Real Sociedad once, and there was one draw.

How Many Goals in Alaves vs Real Sociedad

The scoring ability of both teams in the last five matches remains high. Alaves has an average total of 2.6 goals per game, and Real Sociedad 3.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 games for Alaves and 4 out of 5 for Real Sociedad. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened only once for each team, but in the second half, Alaves had 3 out of 5 and Real Sociedad 4 out of 5 games exceeding 1.5 goals. This indicates a significant shift in scoring to the second half. Goal intervals: Alaves most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (56%), while Real Sociedad scores most often between the 76th and 90th minute (44%). In terms of goals conceded, Alaves concedes most often at the end of the match (76-90, 50%), while Real Sociedad has two peaks at 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (29% each). The average number of goals scored by Alaves is 1.4, and by Real Sociedad 2, with both conceding 1.2. Considering the high scoring of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and the shift in activity to the second half, a logical choice is to bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.76.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Alaves averages 4.8 corners per match, and Real Sociedad 4.4, totaling 9.2. In the last 5 games, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. The line for total corners offers: over 9.5 at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. Considering the frequency and averages, betting on over 9.5 corners is worth considering. Overall, both teams consistently win corners, as evidenced by their five-match series.