Prediction for match Alaves — Sevilla

Match Analysis: Alaves vs Sevilla

On December 17th, Alaves will face Sevilla in the Copa del Rey. The odds for an Alaves victory are 2.48, for a Sevilla win - 3.08, and for a draw - 3.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Alaves - 38.94%, draw - 29.71%, Sevilla - 31.35%. These figures suggest a slight edge for Alaves, but Sevilla is not a clear underdog, and a draw is quite possible. The match promises to be intriguing in terms of the battle for the next round.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Alaves lost 1-2 to Real Madrid on December 14, won 1-0 against Real Sociedad on December 6, and defeated Portugalete 3-0 on December 2. Sevilla, in their last three encounters, thrashed Real Oviedo 4-0 (December 14), drew 1-1 with Valencia (December 7), and lost 0-2 to Real Betis (November 30). On average over the last five matches: Alaves has 46.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 3.8 offsides. Sevilla has 57.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3 offsides. In their last head-to-head (September 20, 2025), Sevilla beat Alaves 2-1.

Goals Statistics

The average number of goals over the last 5 games is the same for both teams - 2.4 per match. Alaves scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2, while Sevilla scores 1.4 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals: Alaves has 3 out of 5, Sevilla - 2 out of 5. The odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.41, and for over 1.75 - 1.53. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Alaves had 2 out of 5, and Sevilla had 4 out of 5. This indicates greater activity after the break, especially for Sevilla. In terms of goal intervals: Alaves scores evenly across all segments, 20% in each of the five intervals, but concedes more often at the start (0-15 minutes - 29%) and at the end (76-90 minutes - 29%). Sevilla is most productive from the 46th to the 60th and from the 76th to the 90th minute (38% each), and concedes half of their goals from the 46th to the 60th minute. Considering these data, a bet on over 1.75 goals at 1.53 seems logical - both teams show average scoring rates, with Sevilla being particularly active in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Alaves averages 4.2 corners over five matches, while Sevilla averages 6.2. For over 9.5 corners: Alaves has 2 out of 5, Sevilla 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals in the line, there is a pair for 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.36, under 10.5 is not listed, so we consider the closest to the sum of the averages (4.2 + 6.2 = 10.4) total 9.5: odds for over 9.5 are not listed, neither are for under 9.5. Based on this data, it is logical to expect 9-11 corners in the match, which matches the average activity of both teams. Sevilla tends to take more corners, which might influence the total count. Overall, the match seems suitable for a bet on a corner total around 10.