Prediction for match Almeria — AD Ceuta FC, 01.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Spanish Segunda on February 1, Almeria will face AD Ceuta FC. The odds for an Almeria win are 1.74, a draw is priced at 3.88, and a victory for AD Ceuta FC is at 4.78. The probabilities for these outcomes are distributed as follows: Almeria 55.17%, draw 24.74%, AD Ceuta FC 20.08%. These figures highlight Almeria as the favorite, but the percentage difference isn't critical, leaving room for competition. The odds for an Almeria win are within the working range for the main prediction, while the odds for a draw and an AD Ceuta FC win are noticeably higher. The match promises to be interesting in terms of attacking potential from both teams, considering their recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Almeria's last three matches, they lost to Eibar 0-1, were defeated by Deportivo La Coruna 1-2, and drew with Mirandes 2-2. In AD Ceuta FC's last three encounters, they won against Cultural Leonesa 3-1, lost to Real Valladolid 0-3, and were beaten by Malaga 1-2. In their head-to-head on November 26, 2025, AD Ceuta FC triumphed over Almeria with a 3-2 scoreline. Additional stats show Almeria with an average possession of 55.2% over five matches, committing 13.4 fouls, recording 2.2 offsides, and receiving 3 yellow cards per game. AD Ceuta FC averages 49.8% possession, 14.2 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and 2.6 yellow cards. These figures suggest Almeria controls the ball more often, while AD Ceuta FC is slightly tougher defensively.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Almeria's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, and for AD Ceuta FC, it hit the mark in all 5 games. The average number of goals in Almeria's matches during this period is 3.2, while AD Ceuta FC's is 3.4. Almeria scores 1.4 goals per game on average, and AD Ceuta FC scores 1.8, while conceding 1.8 and 1.6 respectively. In the first half, Almeria saw over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and AD Ceuta FC in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Almeria played over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and AD Ceuta FC in 3 out of 5. Almeria most frequently scores in the intervals 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while AD Ceuta FC scores most often between 31-45 minutes (44%). Almeria concedes most often towards the end (76-90 minutes, 43%), and AD Ceuta FC is most vulnerable between 31-60 minutes (33% each). All this indicates a pronounced over-profile for both teams and a high probability of a high-scoring match. The main prediction is over 2.5 goals at 1.79, which is supported by both average figures and the frequency of totals in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In terms of average corners over 5 matches, Almeria earns 3.4, and AD Ceuta FC 5.8, totaling 9.2. In the last five encounters, the total over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times for Almeria and 4 times for AD Ceuta FC. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.73. Almeria is favored in corners with odds of 1.42. Considering both teams frequently earn corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially considering AD Ceuta FC's activity in this aspect. Individual total corners for AD Ceuta FC can also be considered since their average is noticeably higher.