Prediction for match Almeria — Deportivo La Coruna, 17.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda on January 17, Almeria will face Deportivo La Coruna. According to the 1X2 odds, Almeria is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.97, a draw is at 3.66, and a win for Deportivo La Coruna is at 3.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Almeria - 48.78%, draw - 26.26%, Deportivo La Coruna - 24.96%. This reflects Almeria's advantage according to the bookmakers, but a draw is also a possibility. The options for total goals are quite varied, but the over 2.5 total stands out as one of the main predictions with odds of 1.78.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Almeria shows 55.6% possession, averages 3 yellow cards per game, commits 13.2 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides. Deportivo La Coruna, in the same period, has 46.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per match. Looking at the last three encounters, Almeria has the following results: January 10 Mirandes - Almeria 2-2, January 3 Almeria - Granada 3-2, December 21 Malaga - Almeria 2-1. Deportivo La Coruna's results: January 13 Deportivo La Coruna - Atletico Madrid 0-1, January 10 Las Palmas - Deportivo La Coruna 1-1, January 4 Deportivo La Coruna - Cadiz 2-2. The last head-to-head match between the teams was on October 4, 2025, and ended 1-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

Almeria shows a strong over-profile over a 5-game stretch: over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 out of 5, with an average of 3.6 goals per match. The team scores and concedes 1.8 per game. Deportivo La Coruna follows a lower-scoring path: only 1 out of 5 over 2.5, average total - 1.8, scores 0.8, concedes 1. By halves, Almeria has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Deportivo La Coruna has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and none in the second half. In terms of intervals, Almeria most often scores between 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), and concedes most often in the same 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each). Deportivo La Coruna most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each), and concedes mainly from 16 to 30 minutes (50%). Given Almeria's high scoring and Deportivo La Coruna's defensive instability, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Both teams are identical in their average number of corners: 4.2 per game in a five-match series. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners for both teams is 3 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages (8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.44, under 8.5 at 2.46. For corner outcomes, Almeria is the favorite with odds of 1.44. Overall, 8-10 corners can be expected, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical given the current stats of both teams.