Prediction for match Almeria — Granada, 03.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Almeria and Granada in the Segunda tournament will take place on January 3, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Almeria is the favorite with odds of 1.77 and a 54.22% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.83 (25.06%), while Granada's victory is at 4.63 (20.73%). This setup reflects Almeria's advantage in several statistical metrics, but Granada is also capable of putting up a fight. The odds also highlight high numbers for total goals, which is linked to the teams' varying recent performances. Bets on totals and both teams to score have odds above 1.50, offering room for analyzing scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Almeria played as follows: on 21.12.2025, Malaga defeated Almeria 2-1, on 14.12.2025, Almeria lost to Burgos 1-2, and on 06.12.2025, Almeria beat FC Andorra 2-1. During the same period, Granada's results were: 21.12.2025, Granada drew with Albacete 1-1, 13.12.2025, Sporting Gijon defeated Granada 1-0, and 07.12.2025, Granada drew with AD Ceuta 1-1. In a five-match series, Almeria averages 59% possession, commits 13.6 fouls, records 3 yellow cards, and 2 offsides per game. Granada shows 51.4% possession, 13 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 2.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 05.04.2025, Granada defeated Almeria 3-1. In previous encounters, Almeria won twice 2-1, there was a 1-1 draw and a high-scoring 3-3 draw. These results indicate that matches between the teams are often closely contested and do not always end in favor of the favorite.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Almeria's average total goals per match is 2.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per game. Granada's figures are more modest: 1.6 goals on average, 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Almeria's over 2.5 total occurred 4 out of 5 times, while Granada never hit over 2.5, with 5 out of 5 under. In terms of halves, Almeria had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Granada had only 1 out of 5 in each half over 1.5. Almeria's most frequent scoring interval is 76-90 minutes (43%), while conceding between 61-75 minutes (43%). Granada's goals are evenly distributed across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 61-75, 76-90 (25% each), and conceded goals have 25% in each of the intervals 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75. These figures suggest that Almeria plays noticeably more attacking, while Granada prefers a closed style and rarely participates in high-scoring matches. Against this backdrop, betting on under 2.5 goals at 2.03 seems logical: Almeria has an over-profile, but Granada is consistently low-scoring, and their matches almost always go under.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Almeria averages 4.8 corners over 5 matches, while Granada averages 4.6, totaling 9.4 corners per game. In a five-match series, both teams had 2 over 9.5 and 3 under. Among totals with a pair of odds, the total closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.77. In the corners outcome, Almeria is the favorite with odds of 1.41. In recent matches, both teams show stable corner kick stats, allowing for bets on a total around 9.5 corners. There is no clear bias towards over or under, so it's optimal to consider options around the average line. For individual totals, Almeria averages slightly more than Granada, but the difference is not critical.