Prediction for match Almeria — Leganes

Who is the favorite in the Almeria vs Leganes match?

In the Segunda on April 5, Almeria will face Leganes. Almeria is favored with odds of 1.73 to win, a draw is priced at 3.72, and a Leganes victory is at 5.14. The probability percentages are as follows: Almeria 55.51%, draw 25.81%, Leganes 18.68%. Almeria is the favorite according to both odds and outcome probability. The goal total options are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.76, both teams to score - yes at 1.69, no at 2.05. Individual totals: Almeria over 1.5 goals at 1.71, Leganes over 1 goal at 2.21. For double chance, Almeria/draw is at 1.17, draw/Leganes at 2.13. For second-half total goals: over 1.5 is at 1.89. All these odds allow for selecting the most logical betting option.

Team results and statistics

Looking at recent matches, Almeria's last five results are: lost to Castellon 0-2 on April 2, confidently beat Real Sociedad II 5-1 on March 29, defeated Huesca 3-1 on March 20, lost to Real Zaragoza 0-2 on March 14, and thrashed Cultural Leonesa 3-0 on March 9. Leganes' last five games were: a 1-1 home draw with Real Zaragoza on April 2, a goalless draw with Malaga on March 28, a convincing 5-2 win over AD Ceuta on March 21, a 2-3 loss to Real Valladolid on March 14, and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Eibar on March 8. In their head-to-head on November 22, 2025, Leganes lost to Almeria 0-3.

How many goals will be in the Almeria vs Leganes match?

Based on average scoring, Almeria scores 3.4 goals per game over their last five matches, Leganes scores 3. Almeria averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Leganes scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Almeria has 3 out of 5, Leganes 2 out of 5. For first-half over 1.5 goals: 2 out of 5 for both teams, second-half for Almeria 3 out of 5, Leganes 2 out of 5. Almeria most frequently scores between the 76th-90th minutes (46%), Leganes in the same interval (44%). Almeria most often concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (50%), Leganes in the final stretch (76th-90th, 33%). These stats suggest decent scoring from both teams, especially in second halves and late in matches. The overall goal stats and over-goal trends support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.76.

Corner totals analysis

Almeria averages 4.8 corners per match, Leganes 5.2. For over 9.5 corners: Almeria has 3 out of 5, Leganes 4 out of 5. The line offers over 9.5 corners at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.80. For corners outcome, Almeria is the favorite at 1.43. Considering average values and frequency of overs, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. Also, individual corner stats: Almeria averages 4.8, Leganes 5.2, indicating an active game in this aspect. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set pieces, and a bet on the higher corner total seems justified.