Prediction for match Alverca — AVS

Match Analysis: Alverca vs AVS

On March 7, 2026, Alverca will face AVS in the Primeira Liga. According to the 1X2 odds, Alverca is favored: their win is priced at 1.77, a draw at 3.80, and an AVS win at 4.94. The probabilities are as follows: Alverca 54.82%, draw 25.54%, AVS 19.64%. This suggests that Alverca is seen as the favorite, but a draw is also possible. Additionally, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.03, under 2.5 goals are 1.86, both teams to score: yes - 1.86, no - 1.84, indicating moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Alverca has averaged 45% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.2 offsides per game. AVS, in the same period, has 33% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Recent matches for Alverca: February 28, 2026 - Vitória Guimarães vs Alverca 1-1, February 21, 2026 - Alverca vs Santa Clara 1-1, February 13, 2026 - Tondela vs Alverca 1-1. For AVS: February 28, 2026 - AVS vs Estrela 0-0, February 21, 2026 - Benfica vs AVS 3-0, February 15, 2026 - AVS vs Estoril 3-0. In their head-to-head on October 4, 2025, AVS lost to Alverca 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Alverca had over 2.5 goals once and under 2.5 goals four times. Conversely, AVS had over 2.5 goals four times and under once. The average goals in Alverca's matches is 2.2, while AVS averages 3. Alverca scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.2, while AVS scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams, while in the second half, it happened twice for Alverca and three times for AVS. Goal intervals: Alverca most frequently scores and concedes between 76-90 minutes (50% and 40% respectively), while AVS scores most often between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (27% each), conceding evenly across three intervals in the second half (33% each). Considering Alverca's low scoring in recent matches and only one instance of over 2.5 goals, while AVS tends to play in more high-scoring games, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems justified: Alverca rarely plays high-scoring games, and AVS is not always consistent in attack against strong opponents.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average over 5 matches, Alverca takes 6.2 corners, AVS 4.4. For over 9.5 corners: both teams had over in 4 out of 5 matches. The line is set at 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is at 1.86, under at 1.82. Alverca is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.40. Given the average total corners (10.6) and frequent occurrences of over 9.5, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Alverca consistently earns more than 6 corners per game, and AVS adds to this, creating conditions for high corner activity.