Prediction for match Alverca — Porto, 22.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Alverca and Porto in the Primeira Liga is scheduled for December 22. The 1X2 odds highlight Porto as the favorite: Porto's victory is at 1.38, a draw at 4.99, and Alverca's success at 9.20. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Porto's victory at 70.10%, a draw at 19.39%, and Alverca's victory at 10.51%. These figures reflect a clear advantage for Porto given the current form of the teams.

Team's Recent Match Performance

In their last five matches, Alverca had an average ball possession of 43.8%, recording 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. During the same period, Porto had an average possession of 61.4%, with 0.8 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Alverca played as follows: December 14 - Arouca vs Alverca 1-0, December 7 - Alverca vs Nacional 1-0, November 29 - Casa Pia vs Alverca 0-2. Porto's last three matches: December 18 - Porto vs Famalicão 4-1, December 15 - Porto vs Estrela 3-1, December 11 - Porto vs Malmö 2-1. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Alverca never had a total over 2.5 goals - all five times it was under. Porto, on the other hand, had over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Alverca's average scoring is 1.6 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8. Porto's average total is 3, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.6. By halves, Alverca never had a total over 1.5 in the first half, and twice in the second half out of five. Porto had a total over 1.5 twice in the first half and three times in the second. Alverca most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), and concedes at the end (76th-90th - 67%). Porto distributes goals evenly, 20% in each of the five 15-minute segments, and concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (60%). Given Alverca's low scoring and Porto's strong defense, along with Alverca not having an over 2.5 in five matches and Porto having under twice, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems a logical choice.

Corner Bets

Alverca averages 4 corners per game, Porto - 5.4. In their last five matches, Alverca had over 9.5 corners four times, Porto only once. For a total of 8.5 corners, both options are available: over 8.5 at 1.87, under at 1.81. For the corner outcome, Porto is also favored with odds of 1.14. Based on the average activity of both teams and Alverca's frequent total over corners, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified.