Prediction for match Alverca — Rio Ave, 08.11.2025

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Rio Ave

In the Primeira Liga, Alverca will face Rio Ave on November 8. According to the odds, bookmakers slightly favor Alverca: their win is priced at 2.35, Rio Ave's victory at 3.00, and a draw at 3.25. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Alverca - 39.90%, draw - 28.85%, Rio Ave - 31.25%. Thus, a closely contested match is expected, with a slight edge towards Alverca.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Alverca's average ball possession is 45.6%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 12.8, offsides - 1.4. Rio Ave's average possession is 41%, yellow cards - 4.4, fouls - 15.2, offsides - 0.6. Alverca's last three matches: 31.10.2025 - Sporting Lisbon - Alverca 2-0, 24.10.2025 - Alverca - Gil Vicente 0-4, 04.10.2025 - ABC - Alverca 1-3. Rio Ave's last three games: 01.11.2025 - Rio Ave - Estoril 0-4, 25.10.2025 - Estrela - Rio Ave 1-2, 05.10.2025 - Rio Ave - Tondela 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 23.11.2024, Alverca and Rio Ave drew 2-2, with over 2.5 goals hitting.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 games. Alverca averages 3 goals per match, while Rio Ave averages 2.4. Both sides score an average of 1.2 goals per game, with Alverca conceding 1.8 and Rio Ave 1.2. In the first half, Alverca played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, Rio Ave in 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5. Alverca most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Rio Ave scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Alverca concedes most often between the 31st and 45th minutes and 46th and 60th minutes (25% each), while Rio Ave concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%). Considering both teams regularly hit over 2.5 goals and have similar goal stats, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.15 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Alverca's average corners in the last five matches is 1.4, while Rio Ave's is 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: Alverca has 1 out of 5, Rio Ave has 3 out of 5. The line for over 9.5 corners is at 1.82, under at 1.98. Alverca is the favorite on corner outcomes, with odds of 1.73. Although Rio Ave tends to take more corners, the total over 9.5 was not always met. Based on these stats, it makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners.