Prediction for match Alverca — Sporting CP

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

In the Primeira Liga on March 22, Alverca faces Sporting CP. According to the 1X2 odds, Alverca's victory is at 10.40, a draw is at 5.84, and Sporting CP's win is priced at 1.31. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 74.06% for a Sporting CP win, 16.61% for a draw, and 9.33% for an Alverca victory. The goal totals line is quite broad, but the team from Lisbon remains the favorite. Options for both teams to score and individual totals also have intriguing values, but the main focus is on scoring and Sporting's potential advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Alverca played as follows: March 14, 2026 - Gil Vicente vs. Alverca - 2-2, March 7, 2026 - Alverca vs. ABC - 0-0, February 28, 2026 - Vitoria Guimaraes vs. Alverca - 1-1. Sporting CP's last three matches went as follows: March 17, 2026 - Sporting CP vs. Bodo/Glimt - 5-0, March 11, 2026 - Bodo/Glimt vs. Sporting CP - 3-0, March 7, 2026 - Braga vs. Sporting CP - 2-2. On average over the last five games, Alverca had 49.8% possession, recorded 2 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match. Sporting CP's averages over the same period are: 52.4% possession, 2.2 yellows, 12.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on October 31, 2025, Sporting CP defeated Alverca 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Alverca's over 2.5 goals occurred once, under 2.5 four times. For Sporting CP, over 2.5 goals happened four times, under just once. The average number of goals in Alverca's matches is 2, while Sporting CP's is 3.2. In terms of scoring: Alverca averages 1 goal scored and 1 conceded, Sporting CP scores 2.2 and concedes 1. In the first half, Alverca had no over 1.5 goals, with all five times being under; in the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice. For Sporting CP, over 1.5 goals in the first half happened three times, and only once in the second half. Regarding goal intervals: Alverca scores most frequently in five different 20% segments, and concedes most often in the 76-90 minute interval (40%). Sporting CP's highest scoring interval is 31-45 minutes (33%), and they concede most frequently in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (50% each). Given Sporting CP's high scoring rate, their consistent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and Alverca's average scoring, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this event are 1.66.

Corners in the Match

In the last five matches, Alverca averages 7 corners, Sporting CP 7.2. For over 9.5 corners: Alverca had 3 out of 5 games end with this outcome, Sporting CP 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (14.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is at 2.28, under 10.5 at 1.56. In terms of corner outcomes, Sporting CP is favored with odds of 1.15. Given both teams' activity in delivering corners, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified for this match.