Prediction for match America Mineiro — Novorizontino

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie B on 12.04.2026, America Mineiro will face Novorizontino. According to the 1X2 odds, America Mineiro's victory is priced at 2.27, a draw is at 3.15, and a win for Novorizontino is at 3.16. The probability distribution for this match is as follows: 41% for an America Mineiro win, 29.55% for a draw, and 29.45% for a Novorizontino win. This suggests a slight edge for America Mineiro, but Novorizontino is not seen as a clear underdog by the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, America Mineiro has an average possession of 61.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. During the same period, Novorizontino has 43.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, America Mineiro played as follows: 05.04.2026 Athletic - America Mineiro 1-1, 01.04.2026 America Mineiro - Botafogo SP 1-2, 22.03.2026 Goias - America Mineiro 3-1. Novorizontino's last three games were: 05.04.2026 Novorizontino - CRB 1-1, 31.03.2026 Juventude - Novorizontino 0-0, 22.03.2026 Novorizontino - Londrina 1-3. The last head-to-head match was on 03.11.2025 and ended 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have gone over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. America Mineiro averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Novorizontino scores 0.6 and concedes 1.4. The average total goals in America Mineiro's matches is 2.4, and for Novorizontino, it's exactly 2. Both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in the first and second halves twice in five games. In terms of goal intervals: America Mineiro most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%) and concedes between the 46th and 60th and the 76th and 90th minutes (40% each). Novorizontino's goals are evenly spread across four intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each), with goals conceded most often between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Considering the low scoring nature of both sides and their average totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corner Bets

America Mineiro averages 6.6 corners in their last five matches, while Novorizontino averages 5. For the frequency of going over 9.5 corners: America Mineiro has done so in 3 out of 5 matches, while Novorizontino has done so in 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the closest to their average sum (11.6) is the 11.5 line: over 11.5 corners is priced at 2.50, under 11.5 at 1.67. For corners outcome, America Mineiro is favored with odds of 1.52. Overall, both teams tend to win a high number of corners, as evidenced by their averages and the frequency of high totals. A bet on over 11.5 corners seems justified for this match.