Prediction for match America Mineiro — Novorizontino, 03.11.2025

Match Analysis: America Mineiro vs Novorizontino

In the Brazilian Serie B, America Mineiro will face Novorizontino on November 3rd. The odds for a Mineiro win are 2.25, while a draw and a Novorizontino win are both at 3.20. The probability distribution is as follows: 41.56% for a Mineiro victory, 29.22% for a draw, and 29.22% for a Novorizontino win. Mineiro is favored according to the odds, but the gap between the teams is not large, which is reflected in the percentages.

Team Streaks

Looking at ball possession in the last five games, Mineiro averages 53.4%, while Novorizontino averages 49.6%. In terms of yellow cards, Mineiro has 1.8 per match, and Novorizontino has 2.2. Mineiro commits 14.6 fouls per game, compared to Novorizontino's 11.2. Offsides are called 1.6 times per game for both teams. In their last three matches, Mineiro played as follows: on October 25th, Athletic vs America Mineiro ended 0-2, on October 18th, America Mineiro vs CRB ended 1-1, and on October 12th, Criciuma vs America Mineiro ended 2-1. For Novorizontino: on October 24th, Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP ended 1-1, on October 17th, Amazonas vs Novorizontino ended 0-0, and on October 12th, Novorizontino vs Operario ended 3-0. In their head-to-head on July 12th, Novorizontino defeated America Mineiro 3-1, with over 2.5 goals. In August, they drew 1-1, and in April, Mineiro won 2-0, with under 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Mineiro has an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Novorizontino has 1.4. Mineiro scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1, while Novorizontino scores 1 and concedes 0.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Mineiro and only 1 out of 5 for Novorizontino. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred only once for Mineiro and never for Novorizontino, while in the second half, it occurred 3 out of 5 times for Mineiro and 2 out of 5 for Novorizontino. Mineiro often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Novorizontino scores between the 61st and 75th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (40% each). Mineiro concedes more often between the 16th and 30th, 61st and 75th, and 76th and 90th minutes (25% each), while Novorizontino concedes in the second half: 46th to 60th and 76th to 90th minutes (50% each). All this indicates a likely low-scoring game, and a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.53 seems logical: both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in only two out of their last five games, and Novorizontino averages only 1.4 goals per match.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, America Mineiro averages 6.2 in their last five matches, while Novorizontino averages 4.2. Over 9.5 corners were seen in 3 out of 5 games for Mineiro and 2 out of 5 for Novorizontino. The odds for corner totals are: over 10 at 1.85, under 10 at 1.95, over 10.5 at 2.00, and under 10.5 at 1.73. Mineiro is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 1.91. Based on the average figures for both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 10 corners at 1.85 seems justified, but a cautious option of under 10.5 at 1.73 is also viable.