Prediction for match Anderlecht — Charleroi, 26.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Jupiler Pro League, Anderlecht will face Charleroi on December 26, 2025. The main odds for the outcomes are: Anderlecht win at 1.77, draw at 3.62, and Charleroi win at 4.86. According to the probability percentages, which are 53.96% for an Anderlecht win, 26.38% for a draw, and 19.65% for a Charleroi win, Anderlecht appears to be the favorite. These figures reflect the bookmakers' confidence in Anderlecht's advantage, although a draw is also considered quite possible.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Anderlecht drew 2-2 with Royal Antwerp on December 21, defeated Sint-Truiden 2-1 on December 13, and lost 0-4 to Westerlo on December 7. During the same period, Charleroi drew 2-2 with Genk on December 19, 1-1 with Union Saint-Gilloise on December 14, and lost 0-1 to Mechelen on December 7. Over the last five matches, Anderlecht averaged 54% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Charleroi had 48% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 24, 2025, Charleroi beat Anderlecht 1-0.

Goal Scoring Trends

Anderlecht averages 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Charleroi's figures are lower: 1.6 goals on average, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1. In a series of five matches, Anderlecht saw over 2.5 goals three times, while under occurred twice. Charleroi had over 2.5 goals once, with under occurring four times. By halves, Anderlecht had over 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves, while Charleroi had it once in each half. Anderlecht most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (22% each), while Charleroi scores most in the 76-90 minute interval (40%). Anderlecht concedes most often in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals (50% each), while Charleroi concedes in the 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 intervals (33% each). Given Anderlecht's consistent scoring and Charleroi's low scoring, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Both teams are close in corner averages: Anderlecht averages 6.2 corners per five matches, Charleroi 6.4. In a series of five games, both teams had over 9.5 corners three times. The total closest to the average sum (12.6) is 11.5: over 11.5 is at 2.56, under 11.5 at 1.41. In the corners market, Anderlecht is the favorite with odds of 1.53. Considering both teams' stable corner statistics, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 or 10 corners, as well as Anderlecht's advantage in corner counts.