Prediction for match Anderlecht — Dender, 25.01.2026

Match Analysis: Anderlecht vs Dender

In the Jupiler Pro League on January 25, Anderlecht will face Dender. The odds for Anderlecht's victory stand at 1.52, a draw at 4.30, and a win for Dender at 6.29. In terms of probability, Anderlecht's win is estimated at 62.69%, a draw at 22.16%, and Dender at 15.15%. Anderlecht is the clear favorite according to both the odds and the outcome probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Anderlecht recorded the following results: January 18 - Gent 4-2 Anderlecht, December 26 - Anderlecht 1-2 Charleroi, December 21 - Royal Antwerp 2-2 Anderlecht. During the same period, Dender played as follows: January 18 - Dender 1-0 Royal Antwerp, December 27 - Mechelen 1-1 Dender, December 20 - Dender 0-1 Standard Liège. In their last head-to-head on August 17, Dender lost to Anderlecht 0-2. In additional metrics, Anderlecht’s ball possession over 5 matches is 55.2%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 12.4, offsides - 2. Dender's possession is 48.2%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 11.2, offsides - 1.8. These figures reflect Anderlecht's superior ball control and activity.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Anderlecht shows a marked scoring ability: all 5 of their recent matches went over 2.5 total goals. For Dender, over the same period, two matches went over 2.5 goals and three under. The average number of goals in Anderlecht's matches is 4, while Dender's is 2.6. Anderlecht scores an average of 1.4 goals per game, conceding 2.6, while Dender scores 1 and concedes 1.6. In terms of halves, Anderlecht had 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. For Dender, 2 out of 5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second were over 1.5 goals. Anderlecht most frequently scores between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 76th-90th minutes (23% each), while Dender scores most often between the 31st-45th minutes (50%). In terms of goals conceded, Anderlecht is vulnerable in the 0-15 minute interval (43%), while Dender is most vulnerable in the 61-75 minute interval (33%). Given Anderlecht's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and Dender's average scoring, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.79 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Over the last five matches, Anderlecht averaged 7.2 corners, while Dender averaged 3. The frequency of matches with over 9.5 corners is 4 out of 5 for Anderlecht and 1 out of 5 for Dender. The total closest to the sum of averages is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.71, under 10.5 at 1.37. Anderlecht is favored in corners with odds of 1.23. In this scenario, it makes sense to consider a bet on Anderlecht's individual corner total over 7.0 or a general total over 10.5. It's also worth noting that Anderlecht consistently delivers many corners, as shown by their average and the frequency of over 9.5 totals.