Prediction for match Angers — Metz, 01.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 1, Angers will face Metz on February 1st. Bookmakers have set odds of 2.18 for an Angers victory, reflecting a probability of 45.14%. A draw is priced at 3.43, equating to a 28.69% chance, while a Metz win is at 3.76, with a 26.17% probability. Angers appears to be the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not significant. The options for a draw and a Metz victory also carry weight, although Angers receives the most support in the betting line. These figures reflect the balance of power in the upcoming match and set the tone for analyzing the teams' statistics and form.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Angers has an average possession of 48.8%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. During the same period, Metz has 57% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Angers drew 0-0 with Paris FC, lost 2-5 to Marseille, and were defeated 6-7 by Toulouse. In the last three matches, Metz lost 2-5 to Lyon, 1-2 to Strasbourg, and 0-4 to Montpellier. On September 14, 2025, Metz and Angers drew 1-1. These results show that both teams struggle defensively and are not always able to capitalize on their attacking opportunities.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Angers has an average of 2.4 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per match. Metz has a higher average total of 3.8, with 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Angers has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Metz has seen it in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Angers had more than 1.5 goals once in 5 games, while Metz had it 3 times in 5. Both teams had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 3 out of 5 matches. Angers most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (60%), while Metz scores most often between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each). Angers concedes most often between the 16th and 60th minutes, while Metz concedes most frequently between the 16th and 30th minutes (29%). Given Metz's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and consistent second-half goals from both sides, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.15 seems justified. Both teams' defenses allow numerous chances, and Metz regularly participates in high-scoring matches, supporting the prediction for a high total.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Angers averages 5.4 corners per game, while Metz averages 3.4. In the last five matches, Angers had 2 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, and Metz had 1 out of 5. Among available totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.8) is 8.5: the over 8.5 corners total is priced at 1.65, and under 8.5 at 2.10. Angers is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.60. Statistically, neither team shows extremely high activity in corner kicks, but Angers consistently earns more corners, which could be an advantage. For corner bets, considering the total over 8.5 is logical, given the average figures of both teams and recent match trends.