Prediction for match Antalyaspor — Samsunspor

Match Preview

On March 5th, in the Turkish Cup, Antalyaspor will face Samsunspor. According to the odds, Samsunspor is the favorite with their win priced at 1.72, giving them a 54.20% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 3.88 (24.02%), while a win for Antalyaspor is at 4.28 (21.78%). The noticeable difference in percentages and odds in favor of Samsunspor reflects confidence in their current form and recent results.

Team Stats and Scores

In their last five matches, Antalyaspor had an average ball possession of 41%, received 2 yellow cards, committed 14 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides per game. Samsunspor maintained possession for 65% of the time on average, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 15 fouls, and also had 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Antalyaspor's results were: March 1st - Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe - 2-2, February 22nd - Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor - 1-0, February 13th - Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor - 3-1. During the same period, Samsunspor's results were: March 1st - Samsunspor vs Gaziantep - 0-0, February 26th - Samsunspor vs Shkëndija - 4-0, February 22nd - Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor - 0-0. In their last head-to-head on February 13th, Antalyaspor defeated Samsunspor 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have seen the total go over 2.5 goals twice, and under three times. Antalyaspor averages 2.4 goals per match, while Samsunspor averages 1.8. Both teams score an average of 1.2 goals per game, but Samsunspor concedes significantly less - 0.6 compared to Antalyaspor's 1.2. For halves, Antalyaspor had four out of five games go over 1.5 goals in the second half, while Samsunspor had two out of five. In the first half, both teams only had one game go over 1.5 goals. Regarding scoring intervals, Antalyaspor most frequently scores between 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (22% each), while Samsunspor scores most often between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). For goals conceded, Antalyaspor's most frequent intervals are 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (40% each), while Samsunspor's is 76-90 minutes (67%). Considering the average scoring, the balance of over 2.5 totals, and activity in the second halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Antalyaspor earns an average of 3.8 corners per match, while Samsunspor earns 5. In terms of frequency for over 9.5 corners, Antalyaspor had 5 out of 5 matches go over, while Samsunspor had 1 out of 5. The line for total corners closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.48, under 9.5 at 2.55. Based on the statistics, considering the high frequency of overs for Antalyaspor and decent figures for Samsunspor, it makes sense to look at over 9.5 corners.