Prediction for match Arouca — Benfica

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on 14.03.2026, Arouca will face Benfica. According to the 1X2 odds, Benfica is the clear favorite: the odds for their victory are 1.27, which corresponds to a 76.12% probability. A draw is set at odds of 6.01 (16.09%), while a win for Arouca is at 12.40 (7.80%). Among the additional goal markets, the over 2.5 total goals stands out with odds of 1.65, as well as both teams to score: yes - 2.05, no - 1.69. Options for individual totals and half totals are also available, but based on probability ratios and match statistics, betting on the overall total goals seems the most justified.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Arouca has played as follows: 06.03.2026 Famalicão - Arouca 1-0, 27.02.2026 Porto - Arouca 3-1, 21.02.2026 Arouca - Nacional 3-0. Benfica's last three matches resulted in: 08.03.2026 Benfica - Porto 2-2, 02.03.2026 Gil Vicente - Benfica 1-2, 25.02.2026 Real Madrid - Benfica 2-1. Looking at their head-to-head meetings, the last game between these teams was on 25.10.2025 and ended with a 5-0 victory for Benfica. In secondary statistics, Arouca's average ball possession over five matches is 53.8%, while Benfica's is 52.2%. In terms of yellow cards on average: Arouca - 2.2, Benfica - 1.8. Fouls are more frequent for Arouca (13.6 fouls per game), while Benfica averages 9.2. For offsides: Arouca - 2, Benfica - 1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Arouca vs Benfica

In their last five matches, both teams have shown productive football: Arouca had over 2.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Benfica similarly in 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Arouca's matches during this period is 3.6, and for Benfica - 2.8. In terms of goals scored: Arouca - 1.8, Benfica - 1.6, goals conceded: Arouca - 1.8, Benfica - 1.2. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Arouca 2 times, for Benfica - 3 times. In the second half, Arouca had 3 occurrences of over 1.5, while Benfica had 2. For goal intervals, Arouca most frequently scores between 61-75 (23%) and 76-90 (23%), while Benfica scores most often between 16-30 (25%) and 76-90 (25%). For goals conceded, Arouca stands out in the 16-30 minute interval (40%), and Benfica in the 0-15 and 31-45 intervals (33% each). The statistics on totals and averages clearly support the option of over 2.5 total goals, considering the high scoring nature of both teams and frequent overs in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners per game for Arouca is 2, and for Benfica - 6.2. In the last five matches, Arouca did not have any occurrence of over 9.5 total corners, while Benfica had 3 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the averages (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 total corners is at 1.47, under 8.5 is at 2.39. In terms of corners, Benfica is the favorite with odds of 1.14. Based on the statistics, a logical bet would be on Benfica's individual total corners over 6.0 or the overall total over 8.5, given Benfica's activity in this aspect and Arouca's low numbers.