Prediction for match Arouca — Estrela

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on 19.04.2026, Arouca will face Estrela. Arouca is priced at 2.10 to win, a draw is at 3.17, and Estrela's victory is at 4.16. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: 46.14% for Arouca's success, 30.57% for a draw, and 23.29% for Estrela. Among additional markets, the over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.94, while both teams to score: yes is at 1.70. Options for individual totals and half totals are also available, but the main interest lies in the overall goal total line.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Arouca played as follows: 12.04.2026 Braga - Arouca 1-0, 06.04.2026 Arouca - Estoril 3-2, 21.03.2026 Moreirense - Arouca 0-1. Estrela's last three results were: 11.04.2026 Estrela - Sporting Lisbon 0-1, 04.04.2026 Nacional - Estrela 2-0, 20.03.2026 Estrela - Casa Pia 4-0. In the head-to-head match on 07.12.2025, Estrela defeated Arouca 3-1. Over five matches, Arouca has an average possession of 43.8%, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Estrela has 47.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. These stats suggest a fairly even level of discipline and ball control.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over five games, Arouca averages 2.2 goals per match, while Estrela averages 2.8. Arouca scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.2, whereas Estrela scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Arouca has 2 out of 5, and Estrela has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 matches for each team, and in the second half, it occurred twice in 5 matches. This indicates that both teams can maintain the tempo in the second half, and Estrela is more often involved in high-scoring matches. Regarding goal intervals: Arouca most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes late in the game (76-90 minutes, 33%). Estrela's goals are evenly distributed across four intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75, at 20% each, and they most often concede between the 61st and 75th minute (50%). Overall, both teams' goal stats and total overs support a bet on over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.94.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners over five matches is 3.4 for Arouca and 4 for Estrela. For matches with over 9.5 corners: Arouca has 2 out of 5, and Estrela has 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (7.4) is over 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.23, and under 7.5 at 3.42. Arouca is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.61. Based on the statistics, a logical choice would be a bet on over 7.5 corners, considering the regular occurrence of this value for both teams.