Prediction for match Arouca — Vitoria Guimaraes

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes

On February 7th, Arouca will face Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga. The odds for the match are as follows: Arouca win at 3.00, draw at 3.39, and Vitoria Guimaraes win at 2.49. In terms of probabilities: Arouca has a 32.36% chance, a draw is at 28.64%, and Vitoria Guimaraes has a 38.99% chance. Vitoria Guimaraes has a slight edge in both odds and percentages, but the gap between the teams is not significant. A competitive match is expected, with both sides having a chance to earn points.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Arouca averages 52.8% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Vitoria Guimaraes, in the same period, averages 50.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 17.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Arouca's last three matches were: January 31st, Rio Ave 0-3 Arouca; January 24th, Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon; January 17th, ABC 0-1 Arouca. Vitoria Guimaraes' recent games were: January 30th, Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense; January 24th, Estoril 4-2 Vitoria Guimaraes; January 18th, Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 Porto. Their last head-to-head on August 30, 2025, ended 1-1.

How Many Goals Can We Expect?

In their last five matches, Arouca averages 3 total goals per game, while Vitoria Guimaraes averages 2.2. Arouca scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4 per match, while Vitoria Guimaraes scores 1 and concedes 1.2. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Arouca has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Vitoria Guimaraes only in 2 out of 5. By halves, Arouca had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, and the same in the second half. Vitoria Guimaraes had only 1 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. In terms of intervals: Arouca tends to score in the first 15 minutes (50%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (44%). Vitoria Guimaraes scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%) and concedes in two intervals: 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (40% each). Overall, Arouca shows an over-profile, while Vitoria Guimaraes tends to more restrained matches, but not strongly under. Considering the statistics, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.55 appears justified: Arouca has high scoring potential, and Vitoria Guimaraes does not boast an overly solid defense.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Arouca averages 5 corners per match, while Vitoria Guimaraes averages 3.6. In the last five matches, Arouca had 4 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, while Vitoria Guimaraes had only 1 out of 5. For the corner total line: over 9.5 is at 1.87, and under 9.5 is also at 1.87. Vitoria Guimaraes is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.65. However, considering Arouca's frequent high total corners, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 option. Additionally, both teams are not prone to receiving many yellow cards: Arouca averages 3.2, and Vitoria Guimaraes 2.2 per game.