Prediction for match Arouca — Braga, 01.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga, Arouca will face Braga on December 1, 2025. Odds for Braga's victory are set at 1.56, a draw at 4.21, and an Arouca win at 6.55. The probability of Braga winning is 62.16%, a draw is 23.03%, and an Arouca victory is 14.80%. These figures highlight Braga's clear advantage according to bookmakers and statistical forecasts.

Team Stats and Scores

In the last five matches, Arouca's average ball possession is 50.4%, with an average of 3.2 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Braga's stats show 59.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Arouca's last three matches: November 7 - Estoril vs Arouca 4-3, November 2 - Arouca vs Moreirense 0-2, October 25 - Benfica vs Arouca 5-0. For Braga: November 27 - Rangers vs Braga 1-1, November 9 - Braga vs Moreirense 2-1, November 6 - Braga vs Genk 3-4. In their last head-to-head match on March 29, 2025, Braga defeated Arouca 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Arouca averages 4 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.2. Braga's average total is 3.8, with 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: Arouca has 3 out of 5, Braga has 4 out of 5. In terms of halves, Arouca had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5 and in the second half 4 out of 5. Braga had this in the first half 2 out of 5 and in the second half 4 out of 5. Goal intervals: Arouca most often scores between 46-60 minutes (30%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (30%). Braga scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (25%) and concedes between 46-60 minutes (43%). This goal profile suggests a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to score, especially in the second half. A logical bet would be on over 2.5 goals at 1.88.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Arouca averages 3.4 corners per game, while Braga averages 4.8. In their last five matches, Arouca exceeded 9.5 total corners four times, while Braga did so twice. The nearest total of average corners is 8.2, close to the 8.5 line, with both options available: over 8.5 corners at 1.55, under 8.5 at 2.20. In corner outcome bets, Braga is the favorite with odds of 1.35. Based on recent game dynamics, expecting at least 8-9 corners is reasonable, with Braga likely to outperform Arouca in this aspect.