Prediction for match Arsenal — Atletico Madrid, 21.10.2025

Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid

On October 21, Arsenal will face Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League. Arsenal is favored to win with odds of 1.60, a draw is at 4.10, and Atletico Madrid's victory is priced at 5.25. In terms of probabilities: Arsenal has a 59.00% chance, a draw is at 23.02%, and Atletico Madrid is at 17.98%. Arsenal's win seems the most likely outcome, but the gap between a draw and an away win is not that significant.

Team Form

In their last 5 matches, Arsenal has shown solid defensive play, conceding only 0.2 goals while scoring 1.8 on average, with a total match average of 2 goals. This series includes wins against Fulham (1-0, 18.10.2025), West Ham (2-0, 04.10.2025), Olympiacos (2-0, 01.10.2025), Newcastle (2-1, 28.09.2025), and Port Vale (2-0, 24.09.2025). Atletico Madrid has been more prolific in their last five matches, scoring 3 goals and conceding 1.2 on average, with a total match average of 4.2. Their wins include victories over Osasuna (1-0, 18.10.2025), Eintracht Frankfurt (5-1, 30.09.2025), Real Madrid (5-2, 27.09.2025), Rayo Vallecano (3-2, 24.09.2025), and a draw with Celta (1-1, 05.10.2025). In recent head-to-head encounters, the teams have played to a total of no more than 2 goals three times (1-1, 1-1, 1-0).

Goals Statistics

Arsenal has played over 2.5 goals in only one of their last five matches, while four were under; Atletico Madrid has seen over 2.5 goals in three of five. Average figures: Arsenal scores 1.8 and concedes 0.2; Atletico Madrid scores 3 and concedes 1.2. By halves, Arsenal has never had more than 1.5 goals in the first half, only once in the second, while Atletico Madrid has had three instances in each half. Arsenal most often scores between the 31st-45th minute (40%) and concedes mainly at the end (76th-90th, 60%). Atletico Madrid is most prolific between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each) and concedes most often between the 31st-45th minutes (33%).

Corners in the Match

Arsenal is consistent with corners: 7.8 per game, while Atletico Madrid averages 5.4. In their last 5 matches, Arsenal crossed the 9.5 corner mark three times, while Atletico Madrid did so only once. The total corners over 9.5 is at 1.73, under 9.5 at 2.00. Arsenal is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.30.