Prediction for match Arsenal — Bayer Leverkusen

Match Preview

On 17.03.2026, Arsenal will face Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League. According to the 1X2 odds, Arsenal is the clear favorite: an Arsenal win is at 1.33, a draw at 6.14, and a Bayer win at 9.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Arsenal 73.98%, draw 16.03%, Bayer 9.99%. These figures reflect the analysts' confidence in Arsenal's strength, as they have been showing consistent results in recent matches. Bayer is considered the underdog, which is confirmed by the low probability of their victory. In this matchup, bookmakers give almost no chance to the German team.

Team Stats and Scores

Arsenal has been performing confidently in their last five matches: on 14.03.2026, Arsenal defeated Everton 2-0, on 11.03.2026, Bayer drew with Arsenal 1-1, and on 07.03.2026, Arsenal won against Mansfield Town 2-1. During the same period, Bayer's results were: on 14.03.2026, Bayer drew with Bayern 1-1, on 11.03.2026, Bayer drew with Arsenal 1-1, and on 07.03.2026, Bayer drew with Freiburg 3-3. On average, Arsenal has 53.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Bayer also maintains 53.6% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 11.03.2026, Bayer and Arsenal drew 1-1. These stats indicate disciplined and organized play from both teams, but Arsenal seems more reliable in defense and more cautious in terms of warnings.

How Many Goals in Arsenal vs Bayer Match

In the last five matches, Arsenal has exceeded the 2.5 total goals mark twice and stayed under it three times. Bayer has only gone over 2.5 once, with four matches going under. Arsenal's average goals per match is 2.2, while Bayer's is 2.6. In terms of scoring: Arsenal averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded; Bayer scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2. In the first half, both teams rarely exceed 1.5 goals: Arsenal only 1 out of 5, Bayer similarly. In the second half, both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. Arsenal most frequently scores between 46-60 (33%) and 76-90 (33%) minutes, Bayer between 31-45 (33%) and 76-90 (33%). Arsenal most often concedes between 31-45 (40%), Bayer between 61-75 (43%). Given that both teams are not highly productive in the first half, and the total over 2.5 occurred in no more than two matches for Arsenal and only one for Bayer, a bet on under 3.25 goals seems logical. The odds for under 3.25 goals are 1.56, making this the main prediction for the match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Arsenal averages 5.4 corners per game, Bayer 3.2. In the last five matches, Arsenal exceeded the 9.5 corner total three times, while Bayer did not surpass it at all. When considering corner totals, the line closest to the sum of average deliveries is 8.5. In the odds for corners over 8.5 and under 8.5, both outcomes are not simultaneously presented, so specific odds are not provided. Arsenal appears more active in corner dynamics, which could be an advantage in this component. Bayer, on the other hand, rarely exceeds 4-5 corners per match. A bet on Arsenal's individual total corners over 5.5 seems interesting, considering their average. Overall, in corner statistics, the advantage is on Arsenal's side, and it can be expected that the team will create more dangerous moments at the opponent's goal.