Prediction for match Arsenal — Bayern

Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Bayern

In the UEFA Champions League on November 26, Arsenal will face Bayern. The odds for an Arsenal victory are 2.31, a draw is at 3.68, and a Bayern win is at 3.23. The probabilities for the outcomes are: Arsenal 42.68%, draw 26.79%, Bayern 30.53%. Arsenal is slightly favored, but Bayern also has significant chances. The bet for both teams to score is at 1.59, which is supported by the attacking form of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Arsenal's ball possession over the last five matches averages 56.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Bayern holds 58.8% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and gets caught offside 2.4 times on average. In their last five matches, Arsenal defeated Tottenham 4-1 (23.11), drew with Sunderland 2-2 (08.11), thrashed Slavia Prague 3-0 (04.11), beat Burnley 2-0 (01.11), and Brighton 2-0 (29.10). During the same period, Bayern defeated Freiburg 6-2 (22.11), drew 2-2 with Union Berlin (08.11), beat PSG 2-1 (04.11), won against Bayer 3-0 (01.11), and Cologne 4-1 (29.10). Their last head-to-head was on 17.04.2024: Bayern - Arsenal 1-0 (Under 2.5 goals).

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Arsenal exceeded 2.5 total goals three times, while Bayern did so in all five. For the first half, Arsenal has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Bayern 5 out of 5. In the second half, Arsenal records 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Bayern 3 out of 5. On average, Arsenal scores 2.6 and concedes 0.6 goals per game, Bayern scores 3.4 and concedes 1.2. The total goals per match for Arsenal is 3.2, for Bayern 4.6. Arsenal most frequently scores between 31-45 (38%) and 76-90 (38%), while Bayern scores in 31-45 (31%). Arsenal tends to concede between 46-60 (38%), Bayern between 31-45 (40%). The high scoring nature of both teams and frequent over totals make the bet on both teams to score logical: both teams have strong attacking lines, and goals have been consistent in recent matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five matches, Arsenal averages 5.2 corners, Bayern 4.4. On the over 9.5 corners total, Arsenal has 2 out of 5, Bayern 4 out of 5. The odds for over 9.25 corners are 1.50, under 9.25 is 2.48. Arsenal is favored in corners with odds of 1.73. Expect at least 9-10 corners in the match, with Bayern also capable of getting 4-5 corners. Considering Bayern's frequent over totals, the bet on over 9.25 corners seems justified.