Prediction for match Arsenal — Bournemouth

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On April 11, 2026, Arsenal will face Bournemouth in the English Premier League. According to the odds, Arsenal is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.48, a draw is at 4.83, and a Bournemouth win is at 6.99. The probability distribution is as follows: Arsenal - 65.87%, draw - 20.18%, Bournemouth - 13.95%. These percentages reflect analysts' confidence in Arsenal's advantage and Bournemouth's slim chances for a positive result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Arsenal recorded the following results: April 7 - Sporting Lisbon 0-1 Arsenal, April 4 - Southampton 2-1 Arsenal, March 22 - Arsenal 0-2 Manchester City. Bournemouth's results in the same period were: March 20 - Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United, March 14 - Burnley 0-0 Bournemouth, March 3 - Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford. In their last head-to-head on January 3, 2026, Bournemouth lost to Arsenal 2-3. Over a five-match span, Arsenal averaged 53.2% possession, received 0.8 yellow cards, committed 9.6 fouls, and recorded 1.2 offsides per game. Bournemouth showed 57% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These statistics indicate that Bournemouth tends to commit more fouls and receive more cautions but can control the ball at a level comparable to their opponent.

How Many Goals in Arsenal vs Bournemouth Match

In their last five matches, Arsenal averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game, while Bournemouth scored 0.6 and conceded 0.6. Arsenal's total average goals is 2, and Bournemouth's is 1.2. Both teams have surpassed the 2.5-goal line only once in their last five matches, while they have stayed under 2.5 goals four times. In the first half, neither team scored more than 1.5 goals in any of their last five games. In the second half, Arsenal exceeded the 1.5-goal line three times out of five, Bournemouth once. The most frequent scoring interval for Arsenal is the 76-90 minutes (50%), and for Bournemouth, it's the 61-75 minutes (67%). Both teams are also most vulnerable to conceding during the 61-75 minute interval: Arsenal 50%, Bournemouth 67%. All this points to a cautious playing style with a focus on defense, especially in the first half, and infrequent high-scoring matches. The overall goal stats and the frequency of staying under the total support a bet on under 3.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last five games, Arsenal averaged 6.8 corners, Bournemouth 6. Regarding the frequency of surpassing the 9.5 corner line, Arsenal did so in 3 out of 5 games, Bournemouth in 4 out of 5. Among available lines for corners, the total closest to the average values is 12.5, but there are no odds for this line. For the 9.5 corner line: over 9.5 is at 1.58, under 9.5 at 2.23. In corner outcome bets, Arsenal is the favorite with odds of 1.19. Overall, both teams often take many corners, making it logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners, given their average figures and the frequency of surpassing this line in recent matches.