Prediction for match Arsenal — Newcastle

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Premier League clash between Arsenal and Newcastle is scheduled for April 25, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Arsenal is the favorite: Arsenal's win is priced at 1.52, a draw at 4.78, and a Newcastle victory at 6.65. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 64.66% for an Arsenal win, 20.56% for a draw, and 14.78% for a Newcastle win. This reflects Arsenal's advantage based on current form and statistics, as well as higher scoring metrics in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Arsenal had the following results: on 19.04.2026, Manchester City beat Arsenal 2-1; on 15.04.2026, Arsenal drew 0-0 with Sporting Lisbon; on 11.04.2026, Arsenal lost 1-2 to Bournemouth. Newcastle's last three matches were: on 18.04.2026, Newcastle lost 1-2 to Bournemouth; on 12.04.2026, Crystal Palace beat Newcastle 2-1; on 22.03.2026, Newcastle lost 1-2 to Sunderland. In their last head-to-head encounter on 28.09.2025, Newcastle was defeated by Arsenal 1-2. Over a five-match span, Arsenal averages 53.2% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Newcastle holds 48.4% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Arsenal shows an average total of 2 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Newcastle is more prolific in this period, averaging 3.8 goals per game, with 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded. Arsenal has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Newcastle has done so in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Arsenal went over 1.5 goals twice, Newcastle once. In the second half, Newcastle went over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, Arsenal only once. Arsenal most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), and concedes 40% in the 16th-30th and 61st-75th intervals. Newcastle scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (27%), and concedes evenly at 25% in three intervals: 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 76th-90th. This profile suggests a high likelihood of a goal-filled match, especially considering both teams frequently go over 2.5 goals and Newcastle's unstable defense. Betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical based on recent match statistics and average scoring rates.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Arsenal significantly outperforms Newcastle in average corners: 7.2 compared to 3.4 per game over a five-match period. In this stretch, Arsenal went over 9.5 corners 4 times, while Newcastle did so only once. According to odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.66, and under 9.5 at 2.09. Arsenal is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.28. Considering the difference in average figures, betting on Arsenal's individual corners over 6.5 or total corners over 9.5 seems justified. Newcastle lags in this aspect, which is supported by the frequency of corner totals.