Prediction for match Roma — Atalanta

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on April 18, Roma will face Atalanta. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Roma win at 2.48, a draw at 3.38, and an Atalanta victory at 3.17. The probability of a Roma win is estimated at 39.74%, a draw at 29.16%, and an Atalanta win at 31.09%. This suggests that Roma has a slight edge, but Atalanta is certainly capable of putting up a fight. The odds for the main outcomes are quite close, highlighting the balance of power between the teams at this point in the season.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Roma recorded the following results: April 10 - Roma vs Pisa - 3-0, April 5 - Inter vs Roma - 5-2, March 22 - Roma vs Lecce - 1-0. During the same period, Atalanta's results were: April 11 - Atalanta vs Juventus - 0-1, April 6 - Lecce vs Atalanta - 0-3, March 22 - Atalanta vs Verona - 1-0. In their last head-to-head meeting on January 3, 2026, Atalanta defeated Roma 1-0. Additional statistics over the past five games show: Roma's average ball possession is 53.6%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 14.4, offsides - 2. Atalanta's possession - 48.6%, yellow cards - 1.2, fouls - 9.2, offsides - 2.6. These figures indicate that Roma plays more aggressively and controls the ball more, while Atalanta commits fewer fouls and receives fewer cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Roma has been involved in high-scoring games: the average number of goals in their matches is 4.2, with the team scoring 2 and conceding 2.2. Atalanta's average total over five matches is 2.4, scoring and conceding 1.2 each. For games with over 2.5 goals, Roma has 4 out of 5, while Atalanta has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Roma has 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, while Atalanta has none. In the second half, Roma has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, Atalanta - 2 out of 5. Goal intervals show Roma most often scores between the 46th-60th minute (36%), and concedes between the 31st-45th minute (33%). Atalanta scores 33% of their goals between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes, and concedes most often between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). This data suggests that the match could be high-scoring, especially considering Roma's attacking profile and both teams' not-so-reliable defenses. The main prediction is over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.07.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Roma averages 4.8 corners per game, Atalanta - 5.2. For matches with over 9.5 corners, Roma has 3 out of 5, Atalanta - 1 out of 5. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 10. The odds for over 10 corners are 2.44, under 10 - 1.49. In the corner outcome, Roma is the favorite with odds of 1.67. It makes sense to consider a bet on corners closer to 10, given both teams' average figures, and also to note Roma's edge in corners in recent matches.