Prediction for match Roma — Bologna

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Europa League on March 19, Roma will face Bologna. The odds for a Roma win are 1.83, a draw is 3.66, and a Bologna victory is 5.13. In terms of percentages: Roma's win probability is 53.86%, a draw is 26.93%, and Bologna's win is 19.21%. This setup suggests that Roma is seen as the favorite, although a draw is not out of the question. Meanwhile, the odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.75, highlighting this as a statistically supported option among the main markets.

Recent Match Performances

In their last three matches, Roma played as follows: 15.03.2026 Como - Roma 2-1, 12.03.2026 Bologna - Roma 1-1, 08.03.2026 Genoa - Roma 2-1. During the same period, Bologna played: 15.03.2026 Sassuolo - Bologna 0-1, 12.03.2026 Bologna - Roma 1-1, 08.03.2026 Bologna - Verona 1-2. In their head-to-head on 12.03.2026, Bologna and Roma drew 1-1. Additional stats show: Roma's five-game averages - possession 50.6%, yellow cards 2, fouls 14.4, offsides 2.4. Bologna's possession 57.2%, yellow cards 2.2, fouls 11, offsides 1.8. These figures indicate that Bologna controls the ball more often but commits fewer fouls, while Roma plays more aggressively.

How Many Goals in Roma vs Bologna Match

In terms of scoring, Roma significantly outperforms Bologna: Roma averages 3.4 goals per match, while Bologna averages 1.6. Roma scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6 per game; Bologna scores 1 and concedes 0.6. However, for over 2.5 goals, Roma has surpassed this in 4 out of 5 matches, while Bologna only 1 out of 5. In the first half, neither team shows high scoring: neither has surpassed over 1.5 goals in their last five matches. In the second half, Roma has gone over 1.5 in 5 out of 5, Bologna 2 out of 5. Goal timing: Roma most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (45%), Bologna in the same interval (100%). Roma also concedes more in the second half: 33% between 46-60 and 33% between 76-90 minutes, Bologna 40% also in 46-60. Considering Bologna's low scoring and cautious first-half play, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Bets

Roma averages 4.6 corners over the last five matches, Bologna 6.6. For over 9.5 corners: Roma 2 out of 5, Bologna 4 out of 5. Among the available totals, the 11.5 line is closest to the average sum (11.2): over 11.5 corners is 4.08, under 11.5 is 1.18. There's also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 is 2.30, under 9.5 is 1.55. For corner outcomes, Roma is the favorite with odds of 1.49. Given that both teams take many corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 or Bologna's individual corner total.