Prediction for match Roma — Cagliari, 09.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Serie A on February 9, 2026, Roma will face Cagliari. The odds for a Roma victory are set at 1.53, making them the clear favorites in this matchup. A draw is priced at 4.30, while a win for Cagliari is at 7.65. In terms of probability percentages, Roma has a 64.28% chance of winning, a draw stands at 22.87%, and Cagliari at 12.86%. This spread of odds suggests that analysts expect Roma to have the upper hand, although Cagliari has shown the ability to surprise in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's take a look at secondary indicators and recent results. Over the last five matches, Roma has an average ball possession of 54%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Cagliari has 45.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Roma's results were: February 2 - Udinese vs. Roma 1-0, January 29 - Panathinaikos vs. Roma 1-1, January 25 - Roma vs. Milan 1-1. During the same period, Cagliari secured a 4-0 victory over Verona on January 31, defeated Fiorentina 2-1 on January 24, and beat Juventus 1-0 on January 17. In their last head-to-head on December 7, 2025, Cagliari beat Roma 1-0.

Total Goals Statistics

The teams show different profiles in terms of goal-scoring activity. Over a five-match series, Roma has an average total goal count of 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Cagliari, on the other hand, has a higher scoring rate: 3 goals on average per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Regarding goal totals: Roma hasn't had a single match with a total over 2.5, with all 5 games going under. Conversely, Cagliari had 4 out of 5 games go over 2.5 goals. In the first half, Roma played under 1.5 goals all 5 times, while Cagliari had 2 over and 3 under. In the second half, Roma had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, and Cagliari had 4 out of 5 over. Regarding goal intervals: Roma most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (40%), while Cagliari scores between the 61st and 75th and the 76th and 90th minutes (27% each). Roma concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minute (50%), while Cagliari concedes between the 46th and 60th minute (50%). This distribution of goals by halves and totals suggests considering a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.53, given Cagliari's high average total and the regular second-half goals from both teams.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In terms of corners, Roma averages 3.8 per match, while Cagliari averages 3.4. In their five-match series, both teams had 2 matches with a total over 9.5 corners. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average combined sum of both teams (7.2) would be over 8.5 corners, with odds of 1.57, and under 8.5 at 2.19. Roma is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.14. Given the average corner performance and the infrequent occurrence of high totals, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical, although there's not much variance in this metric.