Prediction for match Roma — Genoa, 29.12.2025

Match Analysis: Roma vs Genoa

In Serie A on December 29, 2025, Roma will face Genoa. According to the 1X2 odds, Roma is favored with a price of 1.69, a draw is at 3.74, and a win for Genoa is at 6.39. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Roma win - 58.26%, draw - 26.33%, Genoa win - 15.41%. Roma is considered the favorite by both odds and probabilities, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the relatively high percentage for this outcome.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession, Roma confidently surpasses their opponent: the average over the last five games is 52.8% for Roma and 40.4% for Genoa. Roma averages 3.2 yellow cards per match, while Genoa averages just 0.6. Roma also commits more fouls - 13.4 compared to Genoa's 10.2, and the offside difference is 2.2 to 1.6. In their last three matches, Roma played as follows: 20.12.2025 - Juventus 2-1 Roma, 15.12.2025 - Roma 1-0 Como, 11.12.2025 - Celtic 0-3 Roma. Genoa in the same period: 21.12.2025 - Genoa 0-1 Atalanta, 14.12.2025 - Genoa 1-2 Inter, 08.12.2025 - Udinese 1-2 Genoa. In their last head-to-head on 17.01.2025, Roma defeated Genoa 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding over 2.5 goals, Roma had 2 out of 5 matches with more than 2.5 goals, while Genoa had 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Roma's matches is 1.8, while Genoa's is 2.8. Both teams score an average of 1 goal, but Roma concedes 0.8, and Genoa concedes 1.8. By halves, only 1 of Roma's 5 games had more than 1.5 goals in both halves, while Genoa had 2 out of 5. Roma most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each) and most often concedes between the 31st-45th minute (60%). Genoa is most productive between the 61st-75th minutes (38%) and concedes most often in two intervals: 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Considering this data, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified: Roma has low scoring in recent matches, and although Genoa often exceeds 2.5, they face a more reliable defense. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.66.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for Roma over five games is 3.8, and for Genoa, it's 3. In a series of five games, Roma had no matches exceeding 9.5 corners, while Genoa had 2 out of 5. The line closest to the average sum (6.8) is the total of 7.5: odds for over 7.5 are 1.41, and for under 7.5 - 2.68. Another option is the total of 8.5: odds for over 8.5 are 1.71, and for under 8.5 - 2.07. For corner outcomes, Roma is the favorite with odds of 1.25. Based on the statistics, it's logical to expect a match with a low number of corners, and a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified. On average, both teams do not show high figures in this component, as confirmed by the frequency of exceeding 9.5 corners.