Prediction for match Roma — Napoli, 30.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on November 30, Roma will face Napoli in a highly anticipated match due to the stature of both teams. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Roma's victory is priced at 2.69, a draw at 3.02, and Napoli's win at 3.20. The calculated probabilities are: Roma - 36.61%, draw - 32.61%, Napoli - 30.78%. This setup indicates a fairly tight distribution of chances, with Roma having a slight edge in probability, and a draw is also considered quite likely. It's important to note that neither side stands out as a clear favorite according to the odds, promising a competitive battle.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last 5 matches, Roma shows strong ball possession at 57%, while Napoli trails slightly with 53.6%. Both teams average 2.2 yellow cards per game. Fouls: Roma 14.4, Napoli 14.2, offsides - 2 for Roma against 1 for Napoli. In their last three matches, Roma played as follows: 27.11.2025 - Roma vs Midtjylland - 2-1, 23.11.2025 - Cremonese vs Roma - 1-3, 09.11.2025 - Roma vs Udinese - 2-0. Napoli's last three games were: 25.11.2025 - Napoli vs Qarabag - 2-0, 22.11.2025 - Napoli vs Atalanta - 3-1, 09.11.2025 - Bologna vs Napoli - 2-0. In their head-to-head on 02.02.2025, Roma and Napoli drew 1-1, and the total of 2.5 goals was not surpassed. This recent match dynamic reflects both teams' good form and Roma's tendency to control possession.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five games, Roma averages 2.4 goals per match, while Napoli averages 1.6. Roma scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 0.6, Napoli scores 1.0 and concedes 0.6. For over 2.5 goals: Roma has 2 out of 5, Napoli only 1 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 for both, and in the second half, 2 times in 5. Roma's most frequent goal intervals are 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), Napoli's are 61-75 (38%). For goals conceded, Roma's are 61-75 and 76-90 (29% each), Napoli's are 16-30 and 46-60 (50% each). Overall, the statistics suggest both teams tend to play more cautiously in the first half and become more active towards the end. The average total goals in matches fall short of 2.5 for both, and the frequency of over 2.5 is low. This makes under 2.5 goals at 1.61 the most logical statistical choice. Supporting this choice are the interval patterns: neither team shows significant scoring in the first half, and their average goals conceded remain restrained. Under 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Roma and 4 out of 5 for Napoli.

Corners in the Match

In a five-match series, Roma earns 5.6 corners, Napoli 4.8. For over 9.5 corners, Roma has 2 out of 5, Napoli 1 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum of both teams (10.4) is 10.5. There are two bets: over 10.5 corners at 2.67, under 10.5 at 1.51. For corners, the favorite is Roma, with odds of 1.82. Based on the average corner activity, around 10 corners can be expected, and a bet on over 10.5 corners looks risky, considering the infrequent occurrence of this total in recent matches. A more cautious option is a bet on under 10.5 corners, considering the average values and frequencies.