Prediction for match Aston Villa — Brighton, 11.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

The match between Aston Villa and Brighton in the Premier League will take place on February 11, 2026. The odds favor Aston Villa as the favorite: their win is at 1.98, a draw at 3.82, and a Brighton win at 4.01. The probability distribution is as follows: Aston Villa - 49.70%, draw - 25.76%, Brighton - 24.54%. For total goals over 2.5, the odds are 1.83, under is 2.14. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.64, no at 2.15. This setup reflects expectations of moderate scoring and a slight edge for Aston Villa.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary statistics, Aston Villa has an average possession percentage of 52 over the last 5 matches, while Brighton has 54.4. Yellow cards average: 1.8 for Aston Villa and 1.2 for Brighton. Fouls are recorded at 10.6 for Aston Villa and 10.4 for Brighton, offsides: 1.2 against 2.8. In the last three matches, Aston Villa played as follows: 07.02.2026 - Bournemouth - Aston Villa - 1-1, 01.02.2026 - Aston Villa - Brentford - 0-1, 29.01.2026 - Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg - 3-2. Brighton's last three matches: 08.02.2026 - Brighton - Crystal Palace - 0-1, 31.01.2026 - Brighton - Everton - 1-1, 24.01.2026 - Fulham - Brighton - 2-1. The last head-to-head match was on 03.12.2025: Brighton - Aston Villa - 3-4.

Team Goal Scoring Streaks

In the five-match series, both teams have an average total goals per match of 2.2. Aston Villa scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 0.8, while Brighton scores 1 and concedes 1.2. For total over 2.5, Aston Villa has 1 out of 5, Brighton has 2 out of 5. In the first half, neither team exceeded a total of over 1.5 in any of the 5 games. In the second half, Aston Villa has 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Brighton has 3 out of 5. By goal intervals: Aston Villa most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), Brighton in the same interval with 60%. Goals conceded by Aston Villa most often occur between 16-30 minutes (43%), Brighton between 61-75 minutes (33%). Overall, the statistics indicate a cautious style in the first half and a more active finish. Given the moderate average totals and not the highest scoring in the first half, a bet on total goals over 2.25 at 1.54 seems logical: both teams can step up after the break, and Brighton regularly participates in high-scoring finishes.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For the average number of corners over 5 matches: Aston Villa has 6, Brighton has 5.2. In total, this is 11.2, which is noticeably above standard totals. For the frequency of total over 9.5 corners: Aston Villa exceeded in 4 out of 5, Brighton in 2 out of 5. Among the proposed lines for corners, the total closest to the average is 10.5: over 10.5 is at 2.12, under 10.5 at 1.61. In the line for corner outcomes, Aston Villa is favored with odds of 1.64. Based on the statistics, it's logical to consider a bet on total corners over 10.5, given the high average and frequent occurrences for Aston Villa. Also, note Aston Villa's edge in corners in recent matches.