Prediction for match Aston Villa — Leeds, 21.02.2026

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Leeds

The English Premier League presents a clash between Aston Villa and Leeds, set to take place on 21.02.2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Aston Villa's victory is priced at 1.92, a draw is at 3.70, and a win for Leeds is offered at 4.46. The probabilities for the outcomes are: 51.30% for Aston Villa to win, 26.62% for a draw, and 22.08% for Leeds to win. Aston Villa is the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but Leeds is capable of putting up a fight, considering their attacking profile in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has an average ball possession of 55.2%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Leeds, on the other hand, has 45.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Recent matches for Aston Villa include: 14.02.2026 - Aston Villa vs Newcastle - 1-3, 11.02.2026 - Aston Villa vs Brighton - 1-0, 07.02.2026 - Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - 1-1. Leeds' recent matches are: 15.02.2026 - Birmingham vs Leeds - 3-5, 10.02.2026 - Chelsea vs Leeds - 2-2, 06.02.2026 - Leeds vs Nottingham Forest - 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 23.11.2025, Leeds lost to Aston Villa 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 games, Aston Villa has averaged 2.6 goals per match, while Leeds has averaged 3.2. Aston Villa scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4, whereas Leeds scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8. For the over 2.5 goals market: Aston Villa has 2 out of 5 matches over, and Leeds has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Aston Villa never had over 1.5 goals, while Leeds had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Aston Villa had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Leeds had 4 out of 5. Goal intervals: Aston Villa most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Leeds scores most often between 16-30 minutes (43%). For goals conceded, Aston Villa is notable in the intervals 31-45 and 76-90 (29% each), while Leeds is in 61-75 (33%). The overall goal-scoring rate and frequency of over 2.5 goals in recent matches for both teams suggest that betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.93 is a justified option.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Aston Villa averages 6.6 corners per game, while Leeds averages 4.8. In their last five matches, Aston Villa had 4 out of 5 games go over 9.5 corners, and Leeds had 3 out of 5. The odds for the corner total are: over 9.5 at 1.64, under 9.5 at 2.12. Aston Villa is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.45. Considering the average number of corners for both teams and the frequency of overs, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Aston Villa consistently achieves a high corner count, which could impact the overall number of corner kicks.