Prediction for match Aston Villa — Lille

Odds and Match Outcome Probability

On March 19, in the Europa League, Aston Villa will face Lille. The main 1X2 odds are as follows: Aston Villa's win is at 1.69, a draw is at 4.22, and Lille's victory is at 5.33. According to the probability percentages, Aston Villa has a 58.22% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.32%, and Lille is at 18.46%. This indicates a significant advantage for Aston Villa, although the goal totals odds are also worth noting. Over 2.5 goals is at 1.94, while under 2.5 is at 2.00, reflecting some caution in expectations regarding the match's goal tally.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has averaged 53.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Lille's averages are 52.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Aston Villa played as follows: March 15, 2026, Manchester United 3-1 Aston Villa; March 12, 2026, Lille 0-1 Aston Villa; March 4, 2026, Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea. Lille's last three results are: March 15, 2026, Rennes 1-2 Lille; March 12, 2026, Lille 0-1 Aston Villa; March 8, 2026, Lille 1-1 Lorient. Their last head-to-head was on March 12, 2026: Lille 0-1 Aston Villa.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Aston Villa had over 2.5 goals in 2 games and under in 3. Lille had over 2.5 goals in just 1 out of 5 matches, with 4 going under. Aston Villa's average goals per match is 2.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2 goals per game. Lille's average total is 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. By half, Aston Villa had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once, and in the second half 3 times out of 5. Lille had no over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Goal intervals show Aston Villa often scores between 76-90 minutes (43%) and concedes between 31-45 and 61-75 (43% each). Lille scores mostly in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each) and concedes mainly early (0-15 minutes - 40%). Overall, both teams don't show high scoring trends, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 7 of their last 10 games. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.00, which seems logical considering Lille's low scoring and Aston Villa's moderate scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Aston Villa averages 4.2 corners per game, while Lille averages 4.4, totaling 8.6. In the last five games, Aston Villa had over 9.5 corners twice, and Lille once. The closest line to the average is 8.5, with odds for over 8.5 corners at 1.53 and under at 2.34. Aston Villa is favored in corners with odds of 1.55. Given the averages, betting on over 8.5 corners is logical, but the frequency of this total isn't high, so 8-10 corners can be expected in this match.