Prediction for match Aston Villa — Liverpool

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On May 15, 2026, in the Premier League, Aston Villa will face Liverpool. The odds for Liverpool to win are 2.33, for a draw - 3.91, and for an Aston Villa victory - 3.02. According to probabilities, Liverpool is given a 42.24% chance, Aston Villa 32.59%, and a draw 25.17%. Over/under options: Over 2.5 is at 1.48, Over 2.75 - 1.60, Over 3.0 - 1.77. Both teams to score: yes - 1.43, no - 2.66. Double chance: 1X is 1.68, X2 - 1.44, 12 - 1.30. Individual totals: Aston Villa Over 1 - 1.43, Liverpool Over 1.5 - 1.83. First half totals: Over 1.0 - 1.53, Over 1.5 - 2.28. For the second half, Over 1.5 is at 1.75.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has an average possession of 54.4%, with 1 yellow card, 11 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Liverpool's possession is 54.8%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. Aston Villa's recent matches: 10.05.2026 Burnley - Aston Villa 2-2, 07.05.2026 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 4-0, 03.05.2026 Aston Villa - Tottenham 1-2. Liverpool's recent matches: 09.05.2026 Liverpool - Chelsea 1-1, 03.05.2026 Manchester United - Liverpool 3-2, 25.04.2026 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 3-1. In their last head-to-head on 01.11.2025, Liverpool beat Aston Villa 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Aston Villa has an average total goals of 2.6, while Liverpool's is 3.2. Goals scored: Aston Villa - 1.4, Liverpool - 1.6; goals conceded: 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. By halves: Aston Villa had Over 1.5 in the first half twice, Liverpool three times. In the second half, Aston Villa had Over 1.5 twice, Liverpool four out of five times. By intervals: Aston Villa often scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), Liverpool in the first 15 minutes (38%). Goals conceded by Aston Villa are evenly spread across four intervals (25% each from 0 to 60 minutes), while Liverpool's are spread over three intervals in the second half (46-90 minutes, each 25%). This suggests a high probability of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half, where Liverpool consistently increases activity. Considering both teams' average scoring and frequent Over 2.5 occurrences, opting for Over 2.75 at 1.60 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Aston Villa averages 6.2 corners per match, Liverpool 5. In the last five matches, Aston Villa had Over 9.5 corners three times, Liverpool twice. For corner totals: Over 11 is at 2.29, Under 11 - 1.55. Liverpool is favored in corners with odds of 2.04. Given the average total corners (11.2), a bet on Over 11 corners seems justified, considering both teams' attacking style and frequent wing play. Also, consider Aston Villa's individual corner total Over 5.0 at 1.85, based on their consistent activity in recent matches.