Prediction for match Aston Villa — Wolverhampton, 30.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On November 30, in the English Premier League, Aston Villa will face Wolverhampton. The odds for Aston Villa to win are set at 1.53, a draw is priced at 4.57, and a Wolverhampton victory is at 6.90. In terms of probabilities: Aston Villa - 64.25%, draw - 21.51%, Wolverhampton - 14.25%. These numbers clearly indicate Aston Villa's advantage, as they are favorites not only by the odds but also by current form. Wolverhampton comes in as the underdog, with a probability gap exceeding 50 percentage points between the teams. Such a disparity in odds is rare even for matches with a clear favorite. Based on the presented odds and probabilities, bookmakers do not anticipate an upset.

Team Stats and Scores

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has shown high performance with four wins and only one loss. They defeated Young Boys 2-1 (November 27), Leeds 2-1 (November 23), Bournemouth 4-0 (November 9), and Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 (November 6), losing only to Liverpool 0-2 (November 1). In the same period, Wolverhampton lost three times: 0-2 to Crystal Palace (November 22), 0-3 to Chelsea (November 8), and 0-3 to Fulham (November 1), as well as a 3-4 loss to Chelsea (October 29) and a 2-3 defeat to Burnley (October 26). In head-to-head encounters, results have been mixed: on February 1, Wolverhampton beat Aston Villa 2-0, on September 21, Aston Villa took revenge with a 3-1 win (over 2.5 goals hit), on March 30, 2024, Aston Villa won 2-0, on October 8, 2023, the teams drew 1-1, and on May 6, 2023, Wolverhampton won 1-0. Over the five-match span, Aston Villa had 55.6% possession, averaged 1.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Wolverhampton had 43.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton

In their last five matches, Aston Villa saw over 2.5 goals three times, while Wolverhampton did so four times. Aston Villa's average total goals are 2.8, and Wolverhampton's are 4. Wolverhampton scores 1 and concedes 3 per game, while Aston Villa scores 2 and concedes 0.8. By halves, Aston Villa had two occurrences of over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves, while Wolverhampton had two in the first half and four in the second half. The most frequent scoring interval for Aston Villa is the 31-45 minute mark (36%), and for Wolverhampton, it is the 61-75 minute mark (45%). Defensively, Aston Villa concedes most often in the 61-75 minute interval (50%), and Wolverhampton in the first 15 minutes (33%). Given Wolverhampton's high scoring in the series and Aston Villa's consistent performance, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 is justified. In five matches, both teams recorded over three goals four times, which is supported by their average goals scored and conceded. Additionally, Wolverhampton's second half is particularly productive, with four occurrences of over 1.5 goals, reinforcing the argument for high scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Aston Villa earns 4.6 corners, and Wolverhampton 2.2 per match. In five games, Aston Villa only once surpassed 9.5 corners, while Wolverhampton did so twice. The total closest to the average is 6.5, but in the odds, there's a pair for 6.5: over at 1.89, with no pair for under, so the closest total with both options is 9.5: over at 1.63, under at 2.19. There's also a total of 9.25 - over at 1.57, under at 2.31. For the outcome on corners, Aston Villa is favored with odds of 1.25. Considering the low averages for corners, a bet on under 9.5 seems logical, although the frequency of over 9.5 for both teams is low. However, when considering individual stats, Aston Villa often hits over 4.5 corners (odds of 1.29). Overall, the match does not promise a high number of corners, and a bet on under 9.5 looks justified.