Prediction for match Atalanta — Athletic Club, 21.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Champions League on January 21, Atalanta will face Athletic Club. The odds for an Atalanta win are 1.92, a draw is at 3.70, and a victory for Athletic Club is valued at 4.46. The probabilities are: 51.30% for an Atalanta win, 26.62% for a draw, and 22.08% for an Athletic Club win. Atalanta is favored by both the odds and percentages, reflecting the balance of power before the game. The fixture promises an intriguing clash between teams with different styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atalanta had an average possession of 50.2%, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 13 fouls, and was caught offside 2.8 times per game. During the same period, Athletic Club maintained 45.4% possession, received 3.6 yellow cards, committed 10.2 fouls, and was caught offside once per game. Atalanta's last three matches were: 16.01.2026 Pisa - Atalanta 1-1, 10.01.2026 Atalanta - Torino 2-0, 07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0-2. Athletic Club played as follows: 17.01.2026 Mallorca - Athletic Club 3-2, 13.01.2026 Cultural Leonesa - Athletic Club 3-4, 07.01.2026 Barcelona - Athletic Club 5-0. There have been no recent head-to-head matches between these teams.

Goals by Match Statistics

Over a five-match series, Atalanta has an average total of 1.6 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.4. Athletic Club's average is 4.4, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.8. For over 2.5 goals, Atalanta has 0 out of 5, while Athletic Club has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Atalanta has no matches over 1.5 goals, while Athletic Club has 4 out of 5. In the second half, Atalanta has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Athletic Club has all 5 under. For goal intervals: Atalanta most frequently scores in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute ranges (50% each), Athletic Club in the 31-45 minute range (50%). For goals conceded: Atalanta distributes goals conceded evenly across four intervals (25% each), while Athletic Club concedes more frequently in the 31-45 minute range (50%). Considering Atalanta's low scoring and frequent over 2.5 totals for Athletic Club, but also the Spanish team's high concession rate, it's logical to consider over 2.25 goals at 1.71 as the main prediction.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last 5 matches, Atalanta averages 4.6 corners, while Athletic Club averages 7.4. For over 9.5 corners, Atalanta has 4 out of 5, and Athletic Club 5 out of 5. Among the available corner lines, there is a total of 11.5: over 11.5 is at 2.09, under 11.5 is at 1.68. This match can expect active wing play and a high number of set pieces, given the high averages for both teams. A bet on over 11.5 corners seems optimal, based on average values and frequency.