Prediction for match Atalanta — Borussia Dortmund

Match Analysis: Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund

In the Champions League on 25.02.2026, an intriguing clash is set between Atalanta and Borussia Dortmund. According to the 1X2 odds, an Atalanta win is priced at 2.18, a draw at 3.96, and a Borussia Dortmund victory at 3.30. Looking at the probabilities, Atalanta has a 45.23% chance, a draw is at 24.90%, and Borussia Dortmund stands at 29.88%. This setup suggests a slight edge for Atalanta, but Borussia Dortmund is not seen as an underdog by any means.

Team Results and Statistics

Atalanta has shown solid form in their last five matches: 22.02.2026 - Atalanta vs Napoli - 2-1, 17.02.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta - 2-0, 14.02.2026 - Lazio vs Atalanta - 0-2. Borussia Dortmund has also been productive: 21.02.2026 - RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund - 2-2, 17.02.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta - 2-0, 13.02.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 - 4-0. In their head-to-head on 17.02.2026, Borussia Dortmund defeated Atalanta 2-0. Over the last five matches, Atalanta's average possession is 52.2%, with 2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Borussia Dortmund averages 54.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Atalanta's average total goals are 2.6, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Borussia Dortmund has a higher average total of 3.6, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Atalanta has seen it in 3 of 5, while Borussia Dortmund in 4 of 5. By halves: Atalanta saw over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and twice in the second half. Borussia Dortmund had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times, and 3 in the second half. As for goal intervals: Atalanta most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%), while Borussia Dortmund scores between the 31st and 45th minute (31%). For goals conceded, Atalanta has an even distribution across four intervals (25% each), while Borussia Dortmund concedes most between the 31st and 45th, 46th and 60th, and 76th and 90th minutes (33% each). Given these stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified: both teams score regularly, with Borussia Dortmund being particularly prolific, having seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.76.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last 5 matches, Atalanta averages 5.2 corners, and Borussia Dortmund 6.4. In a series of five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Atalanta and twice for Borussia Dortmund. Among available totals, the closest to the average sum (11.6) is the 11.5 line: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.05, under 11.5 at 1.33. Atalanta is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.49. Based on averages and frequencies, a high total corner count is expected, but over 9.5 has not been frequent. Nonetheless, both teams are capable of delivering 5 or more corners per match, as evidenced by their recent performances.