Prediction for match Atalanta — Chelsea, 09.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the UEFA Champions League on December 9, 2025, Atalanta will face Chelsea. According to the 1X2 odds, Chelsea is favored with odds of 2.17 and a probability of 45.36%. Atalanta's victory is set at 3.51 with a probability of 28.04%, while a draw is at 3.70 with a probability of 26.60%. Attention is also drawn to the markets for total goals and both teams to score, where the bet on both teams to score is at 1.57.

Team Results and Statistics

Atalanta, over a five-match stretch, shows 57.4% ball possession, averages 0.8 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per match. Chelsea, over the same period, maintains 56.2% possession, averages 1.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Atalanta played as follows: December 6 - Verona 3-1 Atalanta, December 3 - Atalanta 4-0 Genoa, November 30 - Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina. Chelsea's last three games were: December 6 - Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea, December 3 - Leeds 3-1 Chelsea, November 30 - Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal.

Goals by Match Statistics

Atalanta averages 3.4 goals per match over five games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 on average. Chelsea's average total is 2.2, with the team scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8. Atalanta has surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark in 4 out of 5 games, while Chelsea has done so in 2 out of 5. By halves, Atalanta has had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 out of 5 times, and 2 out of 5 in the first half. For Chelsea, the second half also saw over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, and 1 out of 5 in the first half. Goal intervals: Atalanta most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (33%), conceding between the 46th and 75th minute (40% in each of the two intervals). Chelsea is most prolific between the 46th and 75th minute (29%), conceding most often between the 46th and 60th minute (50%). Overall, both teams tend to score after the break, and the attacking stats of both sides support the bet on both teams to score: yes.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Atalanta averages 5.2 corners per match, Chelsea 3.6. In a series of five games, Atalanta's total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times out of 5, Chelsea's 1 out of 5. The total corners market closest to the average figures is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners - odds unavailable, under 9.5 - odds unavailable. Statistically, it makes sense to consider the total corners over 8.5 or 9.5, given Atalanta's activity in delivering corners. Also, consider Atalanta's individual total corners, as the team consistently delivers more than 5 per match.