Prediction for match Atalanta — Parma, 25.01.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on January 25, 2026, Atalanta will face Parma. According to the 1X2 odds, an Atalanta win is priced at 1.45, a draw at 4.91, and a Parma victory at 8.05. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Atalanta - 67.78%, draw - 20.02%, Parma - 12.21%. These numbers suggest that Atalanta is the favorite, while the odds for a Parma win indicate a very low chance of success. Similarly, a draw does not seem to be a likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Atalanta has averaged 55.2% possession, 1 booking, 13 fouls, and 3 offsides per game. Parma, over the same period, averaged 45% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Atalanta's last three games were: January 21, 2026 - Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao - 2-3, January 16, 2026 - Pisa vs Atalanta - 1-1, January 10, 2026 - Atalanta vs Torino - 2-0. Parma's last three matches were: January 18, 2026 - Parma vs Genoa - 0-0, January 14, 2026 - Napoli vs Parma - 0-0, January 11, 2026 - Lecce vs Parma - 1-2. The last head-to-head meeting was on August 30, 2025: Parma vs Atalanta - 1-1.

How Many Goals in Atalanta vs Parma Match

In Atalanta's last five matches, the total over 2.5 happened once, and under 2.5 occurred four times. Similarly for Parma: once over, four times under. By halves, Atalanta never had a total over 1.5 in the first half, while in the second half, it was over twice and under three times. For Parma, the first half saw over 1.5 once and under four times, while the second half was once over and four times under. The average total goals in Atalanta's matches over 5 games is 2.4, while for Parma it's 1.4. In terms of goals scored, Atalanta averages 1.6 and Parma 0.6. Both teams concede an average of 0.8 goals per match. By halves, Atalanta most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Parma scores between the 0th and 15th minutes (100%). In terms of goals conceded, Atalanta is vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minutes and the 61st and 75th minutes (33% each), while Parma is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). Considering Parma's low scoring rate and the fact that both teams rarely go over 2.5 total goals, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this event are 2.17.

Corner Bets

Atalanta averages 4.8 corners over 5 matches, while Parma averages 3.8. In the same period, Atalanta's total corners over 9.5 happened 3 times, and Parma's 2 times. The odds for total corners: over 8.5 is priced at 1.57, under 8.5 at 2.25. In the corners market, Atalanta is the favorite with odds of 1.21. According to the statistics, both teams average under 5 corners per game, so a bet on over 8.5 corners seems moderately justified but not without risk. It is also noteworthy that Atalanta has seen 3 out of 5 matches exceed 9.5 total corners, slightly highlighting them over Parma.