Prediction for match Atalanta — Udinese

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On March 7th, in the Serie A, Atalanta will face Udinese. Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.67 for an Atalanta win, 4.03 for a draw, and 5.98 for a Udinese victory. The probability distribution is as follows: 59.04% chance of an Atalanta win, 24.47% for a draw, and 16.49% for a Udinese win. This setup highlights Atalanta as the favorite, but a draw is also possible considering the odds and probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atalanta's results were: March 4th - Lazio vs Atalanta - 2-2, March 1st - Sassuolo vs Atalanta - 2-1, February 25th - Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund - 4-1. Udinese's last three games ended as follows: March 2nd - Udinese vs Fiorentina - 3-0, February 23rd - Bologna vs Udinese - 1-0, February 15th - Udinese vs Sassuolo - 1-2. In their head-to-head on November 1st, 2025, Udinese defeated Atalanta 1-0. Over a five-match series, Atalanta had 56.6% ball possession, averaged 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Udinese in the same period had 44.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These stats show that Atalanta controls the ball more often, while Udinese plays more aggressively, committing more fouls and receiving slightly more cautions.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over five matches, Atalanta's average total goals are 3.4, with the team scoring an average of 1.8 and conceding 1.6. Udinese's average total goals over five games are 2.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Atalanta had 4 out of 5 matches with more than 2.5 goals, while Udinese had 3 out of 5. For halves, Atalanta had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Udinese had only 1 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals: Atalanta most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (25%) and concedes in the same interval (40%). Udinese is most prolific in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (67%). Overall, both teams tend to score in the later stages, but Atalanta has a more attacking profile, as confirmed by their average scoring and frequent over 2.5 goals. Udinese is not highly defensive but not entirely open either. A logical bet would be over 2.5 goals at 1.97, considering Atalanta's attacking nature, regular late goals, and frequent overs in recent games.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last 5 matches, Atalanta averaged 5 corners, and Udinese 4.6, totaling 9.6. In Atalanta's last five matches, the total corners exceeded 9.5 once, while Udinese's games saw this 3 times. The line closest to the average sum is 9.5, with two outcomes: over 9.5 - 1.82, under 9.5 - 1.88. Atalanta is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.24. Considering both teams' average activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially since Udinese had 3 out of 5 recent matches with high corners. Another option is to bet on Atalanta to win on corners, given their average of 5 per game.