Prediction for match Athletic — Internacional

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Copa do Brasil on April 22, Athletic will face Internacional. Bookmakers have Internacional as the favorite with odds of 1.69, which corresponds to a probability of 55.25%. Athletic's win is priced at 4.82 (19.37%), and a draw is at 3.68 (25.37%). This setup reflects Internacional's advantage in odds and percentages, suggesting a cautious approach to total goals predictions. The difference in probabilities between a draw and an Athletic win is about 6%, indicating low confidence in Athletic's success.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Athletic lost to Novorizontino 1-2, defeated CRB 3-2, and drew with America Mineiro 1-1. During this period, Internacional lost to Mirassol 1-2, drew with Gremio 0-0, and beat Corinthians 1-0. Over the last 5 games, Athletic's averages are: possession 39.6%, yellow cards 3, fouls 18.4, offsides 1. Internacional has averages of possession 48.2%, yellow cards 1.8, fouls 14.8, offsides 1. There is no recorded recent head-to-head match between these teams. In a five-match series, Athletic averages 3.2 corners, while Internacional averages 4.8.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Based on the last five matches, Athletic's average total goals is 3, while Internacional's is 1.6. Athletic scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4, while Internacional scores 1 and concedes 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Athletic has 3 out of 5, while Internacional has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Athletic has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Internacional has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Athletic has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, and Internacional has none. Athletic most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (38%), while Internacional scores between 16-30 minutes (50%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding in the final minutes: Athletic concedes 43% of goals between 76-90 minutes, and Internacional 50% in the same period. Overall, the statistics suggest moderate scoring with a focus on the first half, but Internacional's low frequency of over 2.5 goals and solid defense make a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.78 the most logical choice: both teams have a defensive profile in the second half and Internacional has low scoring figures.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over 5 matches, Athletic averages 3.2 corners, and Internacional 4.8 - together 8. In the last five games, Athletic surpassed the over 9.5 total three times, Internacional twice. Among totals with paired odds, the closest to the sum of average corners is 8.5: for over 8.5 corners, odds are 1.43, and for under, 2.55. For corner outcomes, Internacional is favored with odds of 1.56. Overall, neither team stands out with extremely high corner figures, but Internacional is slightly more active on average. A bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, given the regular occurrences for both teams.