Prediction for match Athletic — Paysandu, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Athletic vs Paysandu

The Serie B match between Athletic and Paysandu will take place on November 23. Athletic is considered the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.43, a draw at 4.05, and Paysandu's win at 7.85. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: 65.14% for Athletic, 23% for a draw, and 11.87% for Paysandu. These figures highlight Athletic as the team with the highest chances of winning this matchup. Although the league standings aren't considered, the odds and percentages clearly establish Athletic as the favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Athletic averages 50.4% possession, receives 3.8 yellow cards, commits 14.6 fouls, and records 2 offsides per game. Paysandu is approximately equal in these parameters: 50.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Recent matches for Athletic include: November 15, Coritiba 0-0 Athletic, November 7, Athletic 2-1 Ferroviária, November 1, Avaí 2-1 Athletic. For Paysandu: November 14, Paysandu 2-2 Amazonas, November 9, Paysandu 1-2 Coritiba, October 31, Atlético Goianiense 2-1 Paysandu. In their head-to-head on July 29, Paysandu and Athletic drew 1-1, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

For the total over 2.5, Athletic had 3 out of 5 matches go over, while Paysandu had 5 out of 5. In the first half, Athletic had 2 matches with more than 1.5 goals, Paysandu had 4. In the second half, Athletic had 3 out of 5 over, Paysandu 2. The average number of goals over 5 matches: Athletic 2.4, Paysandu 3.4. Athletic scores 0.8, concedes 1.6; Paysandu scores 1.4 and concedes 2. In terms of goal frequency, Athletic most often scores in the first 15 minutes (29%) and concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (40%). Paysandu's peak scoring occurs between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (44% each). Paysandu concedes most frequently between the 31st-45th minutes (40%). In this matchup, it makes sense to consider the total over 2.5, as both teams regularly participate in high-scoring games: Paysandu's last five games all went over, and Athletic's 3 out of 5. Additionally, both teams have a high average total of goals per match and distinct periods of activity in the second half, strengthening the argument for a high-scoring match.

Corners in the Match

On average, Athletic earns 4.2 corners per game, Paysandu 4.4. The frequency of total corners over 9.5: Athletic 2 out of 5, Paysandu 1 out of 5. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 1.59, under 9.5 is 2.20. A win on corners for Athletic is offered at 1.28. Based on the data, it makes more sense to consider individual corner totals, as both teams show stable figures around 4-4.5 per game, but overall high totals are not achieved frequently. However, the advantage on corners remains with Athletic according to the odds.