Prediction for match Athletic Club — Atletico Madrid

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 6, a La Liga match will take place in Spain between Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid. The odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Atletico Madrid's victory is at 2.26, a draw is at 3.46, and Athletic Club's win is at 3.54. Atletico Madrid has the highest probability at 43.64%, a draw is estimated at 28.5%, and Athletic Club's chances are 27.86%. In the last head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid was stronger twice, while Athletic Club secured one victory. In this matchup, the bookmakers' odds and probabilities highlight Atletico Madrid as the team with the best chance of success.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Athletic Club played as follows: on December 3 - Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid 0-3, on November 29 - Levante vs. Athletic Club 0-2, on November 25 - Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Club 0-0. Atletico Madrid's results in the last three games were: on December 2 - Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid 3-1, on November 29 - Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo 2-0, on November 26 - Atletico Madrid vs. Inter 2-1. Average statistics over five matches: Athletic Club - 42% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, 1.2 offsides; Atletico Madrid - 55% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, 2.6 offsides. In the last head-to-head meeting on March 1, 2025, Atletico Madrid defeated Athletic Club 1-0.

Teams' Goal Scoring Trends

In a five-match series, Athletic Club's average total goals are 2, scoring 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4. Atletico Madrid's average total is 2.8, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals: Athletic Club has 2 out of 5 matches over, Atletico Madrid has 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: both teams have 3 out of 5 over. In the second halves: Athletic Club has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Atletico Madrid has 3 out of 5. Athletic Club's most frequent intervals for goals are evenly distributed at 20% in five different segments, conceding most often at the start (0-15 minutes - 40%) and the end of the first half (31-45 - 40%). Atletico Madrid's most productive intervals are 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), conceding most often between 16 and 30 minutes (50%). Considering Atletico Madrid's notable scoring ability and Athletic Club's defensive issues, betting on Atletico Madrid's individual total over 1 at 1.56 seems logical. Support comes from the average number of goals scored, over 2.5 goals, and Atletico Madrid's second-half activity.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Athletic Club averages 5.2 corners per game, Atletico Madrid - 9.2. In the last five matches, both teams exceeded 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. Among the corner total odds, the closest to the average total corners (14.4) is the line at 11.5: over 11.5 corners - 3.58, under 11.5 - 1.21. For the corner outcome, Athletic Club is favored at 2.02. Considering Atletico Madrid's high average corners and regular over 9.5 totals for both teams, betting on over 11.5 corners seems justified for risky options, while over 9.5 is a safer bet.